By: ‘Fiona McBean‘
Some of you will be aware of the different methods that Westminster has used over the last year to hide England’s Coronavirus figures inside either UK figures or by amalgamating them with Wales’ figures in the case of the ONS.
If you take a look at the UK daily dashboard you will see that something new has come to light this week.
The UK total death cert. total of 146 487 is no longer the same as the sum of the 4 nations.
England 125 276
NI 2 838
Scotland 9 710
Total 145 448 (1039 missing)
Over the last few months one anomaly within the ONS weekly figures has been the growing gap between the total England/Wales all settings cumulative death total and the equivalent recorded on the daily dashboard.
The most recent figure shows 134 256 on ONS compared with the 132 900 above.
This gap is 1 356 with 317 in the last 4 weeks alone.
Looking at the “What’s New” section on the dashboard and you will find a probable part-answer to this gap.
On 16/3 a reported 946 non-residents of E/W were added to the UK total but not allocated to either England or Wales.
The ONS weekly report has for some time noted that non-residents were not included in their reports although looking at reports in June 2020 it stated that they were then.
#This 16/3 addition was not flagged up as a change on the daily dashboard of that day unlike all other notes they have added , or indeed announced at a WM briefing.
Contrast this with the Scottish Government’s announcement of something very similar 2 week’s earlier.
Jeane Freeman announced at the daily briefing that PHS had added 172 patients into the 28-day number . These were people who had no CHI (community health index) number and because of this had not been included previously in the 28-day total. Unlike the ONS figure this made no difference to the NRS running total as they had been on that certificated list all along & crucially these folk have always been allocated to Scotland rather than just the UK.
One more angle to keep in mind when the likes of Marr and Musson get busy with their calculators over the next 2 months.