One week of the Boris plan and England’s R number surges dangerously close to 1

SAGE has released the latest estimate of the R number for England and put it between 0.7 and 1, up from 0.5 to 0.9 last week.

The lower figure was, of course, the basis for the PM’s schoolboy leap toward a loosening of the lock-down for England. This worsening of the situation after only 4 days of official loosening may have been due, also, to higher levels of rejection of the lock-down rules by people in English cities in the previous weeks:

The impact of the Covid-19 lockdown on Scottish cities has been larger than similar sized places across the UK, according to data from tech firms. Experts say that data harvested from people’s mobile phones show that city centre activity in Scotland’s largest cities started to decline two weeks before the official lockdown began.

https://theferret.scot/google-locomizer-data-covid19-cities-lockdown/

4 thoughts on “One week of the Boris plan and England’s R number surges dangerously close to 1

  1. Oh if only the so called excellent education Boris received in the curriculum contained something of pure genius and true wisdom along the lines of
    The plans of men and mice aften gan aglay
    Because he is about to find out that is what exactly going to happen very soon and the 2 nd wave explodes and the wealth he always tried to protect gans aglay
    Well Boris
    Then the answer (result) will be blowing in the wind
    The times are not they a changing Old Chap
    They have changed now and for ever
    Go now Boris your epitaph is assured

    Liked by 1 person

  2. I usually like to back up practical matters with facts so this comes with a rant warning.
    How the hell can they know the Ro value if they don’t test?
    Obviously they can tell when the number of new cases is slowing or speeding up all this new fad of talking about the Ro number is just hanging on to Merkel’s scientific lab coat.
    It is just embarrassing.

    Liked by 2 people

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