BBC Scotland News team revealed as ignorantly using a statistically invalid child poverty comparison

From BBC Scotland today:

In 2017, MSPs passed a law requiring ministers to hit four targets, external, including pushing the share of children in relative poverty below 10% by 2030. But the JRF’s Poverty in Scotland report, external found the figure remained stubbornly high, averaging 21% from 2022 to 2025. The UK average is 28%

Why is it wrong to compare the percentage of children in poverty in Scotland with a UK average that already includes the same Scottish data with those for England, Wales and Northern Ireland in it?

Here’s why:

Clear? I knew it was a wrong thing to do but will admit to have a less developed grasp of why than the above.

It’s also morally wrong because the purpose was to conceal the size of the gap and this to protect the Labour Party of Government in England and Wales.

There is no apparent dedicated statistician in Pacific Quay but BBC News has a central Head of Statistics, Robert Cuffe, a former pharmaceutical statistician, from around 2018–19 onward. That role supports journalists across the BBC—helping them find, check, and explain numbers.

He needs to do some staff development for that lot up the road.

Wait, surely their Head of News is numerate?

James Cook, ‘a British journalist and broadcaster’, unless he’s modestly hiding stuff, is described only as ‘Educated at Forfar Academy, Cook began his career at Radio Tay in Dundee where he first read the news at the age of 15.’

That’s it. Left school at 15/16? No diploma, no degree, not even O-Grade Maths then?

It shows.

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6 thoughts on “BBC Scotland News team revealed as ignorantly using a statistically invalid child poverty comparison”

  1. The Labour Mafia run BBC Scotland.

    Imagine including Scottish statistics in UK statistics. In a comparison between Scotland and the rest of the UK. Crazy. Instead of comparing Scotland statistics to the rest of the UK.

    Beyond stupid.

    Liked by 2 people

  2. re the BBC’s ommission of the scrapping of the two child cap in their article below.

    ttps://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cw073e915j93o?

    The Scottish Government began mitigating the policy with its own payments starting in March 2026, and the UK-wide two-child limit was officially removed by law in April 2026.

    The BBC article frames the JRF report as a damning indictment of Scottish Government failure, without mentioning that:

    1. A major UK policy change is about to lift tens of thousands of Scottish children out of poverty

    2. The Scottish Government had prepared its own mitigation plan to address the cap before Westminster acted

    3. The removal of the cap will reduce Scottish child poverty by an estimated 1-2 percentage points

    This context changes their story significantly.

    The article presents the 21% figure as evidence of Scottish Government failure, without noting that a substantial reduction is already baked in for 2026—from UK policy, not Scottish.

    Liked by 1 person

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