Much is being made of the latest YouGov poll for the Times, putting Labour a massive 33 points ahead of the Cons but, in Scotland, the picture is different.
In this one sub-poll of 147 Scots, Labour have surged a bit to 38% but are still behind the SNP at 44%.
So, what can we take from this?
- It’s only one poll.
- For Scotland, it’s a sub-poll far too wee to mean much on its own.
- It’s a poll of Westminster voting intentions and so means little for Holyrood voting.
- It seems to reveal that Scottish Labour are far weaker in Scotland than in any other part of the UK.
- In a first-past-the-post system, 38% will mean little. They might sneak a few seats from the Tories and maybe one or two from the SNP but that would be more than offset by SNP captures of Tory seats.
- * As anonymous points out in a comment below, much of the new Labour support will be Tories switching to the other Unionist party and leaving the combined Unionist vote little increased – rearranging deckchairs on the Titanic>