From Helen McArdle today:
How do we know whether or not a hospital is safe? It is a question that has come to the fore amid fresh controversy over infections apparently contracted during treatment at the Queen Elizabeth University Hospital in Glasgow .https://www.heraldscotland.com/news/19776006.superhospital-row-statistics-say-qeuh-safe—really-gone-wrong/
Ten days ago, I feel I answered the first bit of that question. More on the second, ‘eh whit?’ or non sequitur part, later.
In terms of actual mortality in Glasgow hospitals from April 2019 to March 2020, the period in which we saw the deaths supposedly linked to infections, all of the Glasgow hospitals had expected patient mortality rates and the Queen Elizabeth actually had a better than expected rate with nearly 200 less deaths than predicted based on previous years:
The wee orange blob is Edinburgh’s Western General.
Just over a year later, QEUH is even a wee tad (0.2%) better with fewer deaths than predicted while Edinburgh’s Western is getting better too.
So, how can a supposedly intelligent person ask: The statistics say the QEUH is safe – so what’s really gone wrong?
Really gone wrong? Really? The statistics don’t tell the truth, based on?
Based on a very small handful of stories pushed by you and BBC Scotland, fed by and starring Anas Sarwar and other ghouls, about two or three mothers whose children died, sometimes years ago now, and where a fungus was detected in the water supply.
An independent investigation finds no connection between the water supply and the deaths. Sarwar and the mums fight on, backed by a dodgy lawyer. The story is the most covered of recent years. Sarwar shouts the named of a dead child at every opportunity to be in the room with the FM.
Nothing like the media circus ever appears in England, Wales and Northern Ireland despite incidents of far greater concern with far more loss of life.
What’s really gone wrong? The political and media culture in Scotland has gone wrong. It’s become a form of Punch & Judy show where official statistics, produced by impartial experts so, so much more informed than our ‘health correspondents’, can be doubted in public to satisfy people like Sarwar.