The Herald says:
CORONAVIRUS infections could surge to more than 100,000 per week by mid-July according to a worst-case scenario modelled by scientists for the Scottish Government. The pessimistic forecast – which was drawn up by epidemiologists before daily infections hit an all-time high of more than 3000 – also predicts that over a 1000 hospital beds could be occupied by Covid patients by the middle of next month.
But, put your glasses on and read the small print under the photo. What’s that about a wide gulf? Well, truth be told, the ‘epidemiologists’ are nerds who include the full range of possibilities, assuming we’re all intelligent enough to not worry about the extremes or headline them to scare each other.
This is extremely improbable because the trends in infection and in hospital admissions are largely flat after a wee ‘surge’ on June 23rd:
Let’s see if the ‘record’ of over 3 000 turns out to have some backlog in it.