The YouGov data tables have just become available and they, unlike the others, break the support down into the regions.
So, Alba at 3% overall may be expected to get no seats if they get something like that in every region but in Mid-Scotland and Fife, this poll gives them 7% and the possibility of stealing one from the Lib Dems.
Also, a small new party’s actual strength on the day may be missed by a poll of only 1 144 people.
My own wee twitterpoll of admittedly limited reliability also suggests Alba might be a touch stronger than we imagine:
923 responses from 5 500 who follow me, mostly Independence supporters but not all SNP supporters, suggest far stronger support for Alba than any of the polls do. If they got that level of support on the day, they’d take 20 or so.
If the YouGov poll is correct, then voting SNP 1 Other 2 did make sense:
I wouldn’t put money on it, but Alba may still surprise us. Not by much perhaps but still a wee surprise.
In sharp contrast, Galloway’s All for Unity look lost in every corner of the country.
Update: The Survation poll data tables now published show possible support for Alba at up to 11% in Mid and North-East, 8-9% in three others.
Update: My twitterpoll now with 1 454 responses and still around 37% saying SNP 1 Alba 2.