UPDATE: The BMG pollster’s expert and the Herald read the results of their poll to mean a majority of only 1 for the SNP but the thinking man’s James Kelly, James Kelly has corrected all of us. It’s an overall majority of 3 for the SNP and 19 for the pro-indy parties. See the explanation at his excellent site:
https://scotgoespop.blogspot.com/2021/03/support-for-independence-boomerangs.html
An extract from the Herald/BMG poll today:
On what matters most, legislating for the 2nd Independence referendum, a lead of 9, is pretty much unbeatable.
On any Tory-led scalp-hunting, it is also surely safe.
As for that last line, what sort of idiot thinks that?
The last two polls have a Yes lead of 4 in the midst of saturation media coverage implying the FM has lied. The No lead, other than the dodgy Scotsman one never exceeded 2% after undecideds were removed.
The dip could have been due to a vaccine boost, sampling or the combination of all three, plus other factors I haven’t thought of.
Footnote: Does this make a case for second vote Green?
Talking-up Scotland 'Albatraz' 
Does this make a case for the 2nd vote Green?
In the North East it certainly does, and that’s how I’ll be voting, hopefully to turn a 9-8 SNP win in 16, to a 11-6 or better, Indy win in 21.
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Careful what you assume. Is it not the case that SNP lost a number of Westminster seats in the North East since 2016. You seem to be assuming that that will not be repeated in May.
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Boab
Ah but as Bob Dylan sung
The times are a changing
And also as of today
They have now changed
Thereby moving from the present tense
To The Past tense in a flash
But ask the Unionists to repent
But they know naught of what is meant
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Sorry John, but your headline should read 19, not 9.
SNP 66 + Green 8 = 74
Blue, red and yellow Tories = 55
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From James Kelly, pro-indy majority is 19 seats (never trust the Herald) –
New polling in the Herald, but the Herald can’t even do simple sums –
“SNP OVERALL MAJORITY OF 3 SEATS
Pro-independence parties: 74 seats
Anti-independence parties: 55 seats
PRO-INDEPENDENCE MAJORITY OF 19 SEATS
The Herald article quotes a BMG spokesman as saying that 66 seats would give the SNP “the slimmest majority” of just one seat. As you can see above, that’s inaccurate – 66 seats is a majority of three. I presume he was thinking that, because the target for a majority is 65 seats, 66 must be a majority of one, but that’s not how it works.”
Also, second consecutive poll with Yes lead –
“Should Scotland be an independent country? (BMG/Herald)
Yes 52%
No 48%”
https://scotgoespop.blogspot.com/2021/03/support-for-independence-boomerangs.html
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If only the Greens weren’t compromised by their ideologically grounded denial of what a woman is. They might then be more able to support social sustainability in and for Scotland.
Gendered political space: civil society, contingency theory, and the substantive representation of women
https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/17448689.2016.1178964
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One of the main gripes of the Brit Nats is that Green seats come from the List rather than the constituency.
I trust therefore, that DRossie and Starwars wont accept a seat at Holyrood unless they actually WIN a seat directly.
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John
Re.your foot note on 2nd vote for green?
Well my thoughts on such is Yes, why
1 Not only a 2nd vote but a strategic alliance
Clearly stating loud and proud in both SNP & The Green manifestos, that it is for the people of Scotland to decide their political,economic & societal future NOT Westminster
And in the event of a clear majority then a sect.30 will be forcibly requested on Day one
2.The Greens should be offered at least 3 Snr.
Posts in the new Government and one of them Environmental
3.If such alliance formed then mutual agreement reached on what key environmental policies will be enacted
Why is this Important
1 Boris will use any minority SNP government
As to completely refuse Indy Ref.2 along with behind the scenes rigging of any resultant Supreme court rulings
2. Such will turn the Holyrood election in May
Into a YES/ NO straight contest
3.Given Cops in Glasgow November, Boris as previously and clearly stated that He does not
To see The SNP anywhere near the conference, thereby trapping him to refusing
The Greens access also ,I can see how the International community would react to that bombastic bluster
4.Internationally we would many friends
Note many Nations have in Government where PR is the type of voting and Greens form part of such Governments
Finally we all know the dirty tricks The Union
Side deploy, time to play them at their own game along with the Green Party being in Government having to take into full consideration of the economic consequences
That would arise from some of their more outlandish immediate demands for action
And have to operate in the Real World but with applied vigour and determination
Overall all it is a Win/Win scenario
Time for the SNP to grow up and get real
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I would have no problem with an SNP/Green coalition.
It would actually help the Greens to “grow up and get real”, but green politics is going to be important for us all.
I would also hope Andy Wightman could be coaxed into government.
The more “good guys” the better.
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Gavinochiltree
I used to hold Andy Wightman in very high regards
But he has burnt his bridges now with his vote on the Parliamentary committee
Not only that but he chose to side with our
Thouroughly evil foes
This clearly demonstrates extremely poor
judgement even before NS off the hook now
With findings today of the Independent enquiry
No one of sound mind and impartiality could possibly voted with Tory,Lib. Or Lab on this
Fly with the crows then thou shall be shot with them
Furthermore he was a willing voter in a Kangaroo court
End Off
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I am more and more becoming inclined to agree with suggestion of 2nd vote Green, apart from South of Scotland and other region, I think North East?, where Tories or LibDems still take constituency seats 💺
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Assuming all voters make the correct calculation where they live – otherwise …..
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Please do not deploy “boomerang” or “recovery”, it plays directly to the agenda the spin merchants are trying to push, that Indy support is “volatile” rather than inexorably rising beyond a marginal majority.
The Tories would not be bricking it were their own polling not confirming how deep in doo-doo they are in Scotland, they need a miracle and are prepared to pay for it, the media will be in avalanche mode shortly…
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FM cleared by Hamilton report.
Woo hoo!
Onwards and upwards.
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I have to say that Patrick Harvey grew significantly in my opinion after his clear and robust interview on BBC News following the release of the Hamilton Report.
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