Astonishing ignorance of the Week

Thanks to Peter A Bell for alerting me to this.

Writing in THE WEEK yesterday, Joe Evans, makes this astonishing claim:

Stricter lockdown measures north of the border have not produced lower death rates.

and then toward the end:

An Ipsos Mori poll of voters in Scotland published in November, when Scots were dying at a higher rate than England, found that 72% thought the Scottish government was handling the coronavirus well. This compared with just 25% who said the same of the UK government.

This is just wrong and you’re left to wonder, is Evans just ill-informed or does he have an agenda?

First, The death rate over the last 7 days, in Scotland was 73 per 1 million population, while in England it was 117 and in Wales it was 103. That is nearly 40% lower. Only Northern Ireland has a lower death rate at 63.

Second , over the whole pandemic, there have been 934 deaths per 1 million population in Scotland. In England, the figure is 1 316 and in Wales, 1 289. That, also is more than 30% lower. Only Northern Ireland has a lower death rate at 801.

Now Evans might prefer to use all of the cases which mentioned Covid-19 on the death certificate but, even leaving aside problems with comparing this more subjective data, there were 1 235 per 1 million population in Scotland, 1 352 in England and 1 325 in Wales. Still lower.

Finally, those 4 weeks in November, when the death rate was higher in Scotland, were the only weeks in 10 months where this was true. Andrew Marr and now The Week morbidly cherry-pick the data to distort the reality of the situation over the much longer period and in the more important recent phase.

Tabloid.

5 thoughts on “Astonishing ignorance of the Week”

  1. ‘Finally, those 4 weeks in November, when the death rate was higher in Scotland’

    According to travelling tabby that was only for about a week and i would say was so small to be statistically insignificant. I suspect that when this is all over the difference will be much greater. Does Scotland discount people who have died after 28(?) days?
    Either way.
    The SNP press office (i presume there is such a thing but if there is i have never heard a peep out of them) should be destroying these lies.
    I just don’t understand what is going on. A couple of days ago Fucko the clown lied to a select committee and pretended to not know that you couldn’t work on a tourist visa. What happened? Nothing, Benn who had asked the question did not call out the lie. No one is calling out the lies and then we wonder how the US Capital was stormed.
    I belatedly came across this the other day which explained a LOT of what has been revealed this last fortnight.
    We need to seriously wake up!

    https://www.civilserviceworld.com/professions/article/hm-treasury-team-wins-special-civil-service-award

    Like

    1. ‘I suspect that when this is all over the difference will be much greater.’
      What i meant by that was, overall the English stats could turn out to much worse than the Scottish (not for that one week period).

      Like

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