How the anti-SNP MSM propaganda on Covid-19 can deceive the wider independence movement

I agreed with just above everything Charlotte Ahmed had to say about BLM and about covid impact on deprived areas, on the AUOB panel last Friday, but this:

Nevertheless the disease has killed proportionately as many people as in England. The care home crisis was as bad in Scotland as in England.

That’s a milder version of the inaccuracies peddled by the Scottish Tories, Labour, Iain Macwhirter, the FT and many others.

First, the death rate:

The UK death rate in last week nearly three times higher than in Scotland:

Excess deaths in England almost three times higher than in Scotland:

Second, the care home crisis:

The actual care home death rate [on England] based on the LSE research is more than 22 000 and thus 30% higher than in Scotland:

I hope this clarifies.

6 thoughts on “How the anti-SNP MSM propaganda on Covid-19 can deceive the wider independence movement”

  1. Can I take it that you put the rest of the panel right on all of these issues, as it is important the wider indy movement are properly briefed ?


  2. Thank god for sites like this. I do believe, however, that less and less people in Scotland accept the lies of the English/British nationalist media. The MSM is getting more and more desperate, likewise English/British nationalist politicians.

    Liked by 2 people

  3. Adelina Comas-Herrera is, I think, one of the authors of the LSE research. She observes on the data used to determine covid19 deaths in care homes. The most useful is excess deaths we are told.

    “Data from England illustrates well the importance of paying attention to differences in definitions and methods used to estimate these percentages: the share of all probable COVID-19 deaths in care homes is 27%, whereas the share of probable deaths of care residents is 38%. The share of excess deaths in care homes during the pandemic has been 44% and the share of deaths of care home residents is 52% of all excess deaths. Also, in France, deaths in care homes are 34% of all COVID-19 deaths, whereas deaths of care home residents are 51%.
    Data on the share of all care home residents whose deaths can be linked to COVID-19 may be a better indicator of the impact of COVID-19 on care home residents. We have been able to compile this for a few countries. The shares range from 0 in Hong Kong, 0.3% in Austria, 0.4% in Germany and 0.9% in Canada, to 2% in Sweden, 2.4% in France and 3.7% in Belgium. In the UK, if only deaths in care homes registered as linked to COVID-19, the figure would be 2.8, whereas if excess deaths of care home residents is used, it would be 6.7%[1].
    1] This does not include deaths of Scottish care home residents in hospitals or deaths in care homes in Northern Ireland, so the share may be higher.”

    Liked by 1 person

  4. There is research too on the possible causes of some of the excess deaths taking place in care homes and the recording of it. David Spiegelhalter, statistics expert, has been writing about it.

    “At a briefing hosted by the Science Media Centre on 12 May he [Spiegelhalter] explained that, over the past five weeks, care homes and other community settings had had to deal with a “staggering burden” of 30 000 more deaths than would normally be expected, as patients were moved out of hospitals that were anticipating high demand for beds.

    Of those 30 000, only 10 000 have had covid-19 specified on the death certificate. While Spiegelhalter acknowledged that some of these “excess deaths” might be the result of underdiagnosis, “the huge number of unexplained extra deaths in homes and care homes is extraordinary. When we look back . . . this rise in non-covid extra deaths outside the hospital is something I hope will be given really severe attention.”

    He added that many of these deaths would be among people “who may well have lived longer if they had managed to get to hospital.”

    David Leon, professor of epidemiology at the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, agreed. “Some of these deaths may not have occurred if people had got to hospital,” he said. “How many is unclear. This issue needs urgent attention, and steps taken to ensure that those who would benefit from hospital treatment and care for other conditions can get it.”

    Also at the briefing was Jason Oke, senior statistician at the Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences at the University of Oxford, who explained that equivalent data on excess deaths in Scotland2 were classified by the underlying cause of death—including dementia, as well as circulatory, cancer, and respiratory causes. In the first week after lockdown a spike in deaths occurred from all causes, but “we now have a return to normality for all except dementia,” he explained. He called for the ONS to report on excess deaths in a similar way.

    Responding to the latest figures, Jennifer Dixon, chief executive of the Health Foundation think tank, said, “Today’s data show that action to tackle the coronavirus pandemic in social care has been late and inadequate, and has highlighted significant weaknesses in the social care system due to decades of neglect and lack of reform. Covid-19 has ultimately magnified the human impact of decades of underfunding in the sector and policy neglect.”

    Liked by 1 person

  5. There is an excellent piece of research into covid19 in Scottish care homes here. The first link given is to the short, summary version. The full report is worth reading and, I hope, people will pick out and post on aspects of it.

    Click to access Deaths-in-Scottish-care-homes-3rd-June-update-1.pdf

    “Scotland’s care home sector has not expanded in response to demographic change: rather the focus of care provision has moved to care at home.

    Many of the characteristics of the care home sector in Scotland are similar to those in the rest of the UK.

    Almost all COVID-19 related deaths of care home residents (between weeks 12 and 22) have occurred within the care home (91%). The remainder occurred in hospital (9%). This is in stark contrast to England, where 29% of COVID-19 related deaths of care home residents occurred in hospital (between weeks 12 and 17).

    Non-COVID deaths in hospital settings have declined during the pandemic, which may be the result of re-orienting hospital activity towards dealing with the immediate crisis. Increased deaths in other settings, including care homes, may have been the consequence.

    Whereas care homes have been particularly affected by COVID-19, there has also been significant excess deaths attributed to causes other than COVID-19 outside hospitals and care homes. Specifically, there have been 616 non-COVID “excess deaths” in care homes and 1,320 such deaths outside care homes and hospitals.”

    Liked by 1 person

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