The above today caught my eye because I feel sure the various authorities in England and, of course, the Conservatives. we using a smaller number before.
Given their long history of fiddling A&E and drug deaths data, let’s, nevertheless let them have the above.
I’ll be quick.
What was the equivalent figure for Scotland.
Here’s the worst one:
Care Inspectorate: 3,774 notifications of COVID-related deaths of care home residents from 16 March 2020 to 31 March 2021. Nearly all (3,761) were in homes for older people. This includes residents who died in hospital or elsewhere, and short-stay residents.
So we multiply the Scottish data by 11.2 [61.8m/5.5m], to suggest, all things being equal, we might expect the figure for England & Wales to have been around 42 300 but it was nearly 46 000, nearly 3 700 more! 8.7% more.
Discover more from Talking-up Scotland
Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.
“Fighting Goliath” by Norman Fenton and Martin Neil summarises their contemporaneous substack “Where are the numbers?” during the Covid period. https://wherearethenumbers.substack.com/p/review-of-fighting-goliath and https://publichealthpolicyjournal.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/Stein_SciencePublicHealthPolicyAndTheLaw_v5.2019-2024.Dec_2024.pdf. What upsets me is not so much their Bayesian modelling and statistical analysis plus their criticism of Covid vaccine research methodology, but that no opposition voices will openly debate with them and they have been ostracised from academia and mainstream media.
LikeLike
As previously , the opposition in Scotland will absolve the ‘for-profit-care-homes’ and attempt to put all the blame on Nicola Sturgeon who , clearly , should have been present in EVERY Care Home and personally implementing anti-virus measures to ensure that not ONE SINGLE person died from Covid !
Simples !
LikeLiked by 2 people
Is this blatant news manipulation?
The BBC News website’s coverage today (October 20) of the Covid Inquiry’s latest report, on care homes, has a section penned by Lisa Summers, the BBC Scotland health correspondent. It includes this:
‘Hallett’s report criticises Scottish ministers, alongside the UK and other devolved governments, for failing to advise isolation in care homes for patients discharged from hospital to free up beds, allowing the virus to “spread like wildfire”.’
In the single place in the report where the phrase “spread like wildfire” appears, the Inquiry report does NOT attribute this “spread’ to this or any other sole cause as stated by the BBC Scotland journalist. This is what the Inquiry report actually states:
‘The adult social care sector as a whole also appeared to be something of an afterthought, where the mantra of ‘protecting the NHS’ sometimes came at the expense of the users and providers of care. The FAILURES set out in this Report created environments in care settings in which the virus could spread like wildfire.’ (my emphasis)
In the long Inquiry report multiple failures are alleged, most of them attributed to all UK governments. But in the context of the BBC Scotland’s chosen focus for its own coverage today, the following Inquiry conclusion is SURELY relevant and should have been included by Ms Summers::
(Page 3): ‘By mid to late April 2020, testing capacity in each nation allowed all hospital patients discharged to care homes to be tested for Covid-19. Subsequently, testing of both symptomatic care workers and residents was rolled out, followed by wider asymptomatic testing. However, there was widespread concern that discharging patients from hospital without a test introduced Covid-19 to care homes, leading to the deaths of many residents.
‘This led to a number of studies being conducted across the UK, which concluded that admissions to care homes from hospitals were one of a number of routes of ingress for the virus and were UNLIKELY to have been the dominant driver of infections in care homes in the first wave of the pandemic. ….’
“Other likely routes included transmission via staff and visitors.’
And then there are the multiple and diverse other government failures alleged in the Inquiry’s report but ignored by the BBC Scotland journalist – in the furtherance of a pre-chosen agenda?
LikeLike