Murrell Effect debunked as SNP significantly increase vote share in by-election

We all know the voters in Aberdeen South were set firm to punish both Labour and the SNP and they did. They humiliated Labour by pushing them down into 4th place!

It was a single-issue protest vote of the kind we often see in by-elections and which means nothing for the wider and longer-term prospects of the winners. Lumsden should save as much as he can as he’ll be out again in 2 to 3 years.

If there was to be a Peter Murrell, SNP corruption effect, we’d have seen it in Arbroath and Broughty ferry but the SNP share was more than double that of the Cons and went up from 35.3% in July 2024 to 41.1%, last night a 5.8% increase compared to 3.9% for the Cons.

End of discusssion.


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3 thoughts on “Murrell Effect debunked as SNP significantly increase vote share in by-election

  1. Indeed, but a 38% turnout means it’s clear a lot of SNP voters/potential SNP voters stayed home. We need to give those voters a reason to turn out. At the moment, the best bet is for the Scottish Govt to restore momentum by implementing a moratorium on data centres, as they’ve already done with fracking. Without such an incentive, and with us being no closer to Indy, those voters will continue to stay home.

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  2. And the turnout in Arbroath & Broughty Ferry was even lower at 31%.

    Nearly 59% in Makerfield.

    I’m personally left wondering what the point of SNP MPs actually sitting in Westminster is any more, a feeling I’ve had since peak SNP, 56 out of 59 Scottish seats, in 2015.

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