The above response to criticism of their way-out predictions, from @predictorelect is revealing – no rational, evidence-based argument in favour of their findings, just abuse.

My comments, two days ago:

This yesterday, from the very new (March 2023) Election Predictor is a dramatic outlier prediction of a collapse in SNP Westminster support with:

Labour 27 seats (+26) SNP 20 seats (-28) Lib Dems 6 seats (+2) Conservatives 6 seats (no change).

On the same day, Polling UK had this:

51 SNP seats and a tiny handful of Labour (1), Con (3?) and LD (4?).

The most recent mainstream poll analysis from Electoral Calculus has the SNP at between 36 and 49 seats: https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/prediction_main.html

So, who or what is Election Predictor and what are they up to?

It’s looking for patrons at https://www.patreon.com/ElectionPredictor?utm_medium=clipboard_copy&utm_source=copyLink&utm_campaign=cre

but has none so far.

From the University of Oxford in 2021:

Social media manipulation by political actors an industrial scale problem – Oxford report

Cyber troops are frequently directly linked to state agencies. According to the report, ‘In 62 countries, we found evidence of a government agency using computational propaganda to shape public attitudes.’

Established political parties were also found to be using social media to ‘spread disinformation, suppress political participation, and undermine oppositional parties’, say the Oxford researchers.  

According to the report, ‘In 61 countries, we found evidence of political parties or politicians running for office who have used the tools and techniques of computational propaganda as part of their political campaigns. Indeed, social media has become a critical component of digital campaigning.’

We found evidence of political parties or politicians running for office who have used the tools and techniques of computational propaganda as part of their political campaigns….social media has become a critical component of digital campaigning

Dr Bradshaw adds, ‘Cyber troop activity can look different in democracies compared to authoritarian regimes. Electoral authorities need to consider the broader ecosystem of disinformation and computational propaganda, including private firms and paid influencers, who are increasingly prominent actors in this space.’https://www.ox.ac.uk/news/2021-01-13-social-media-manipulation-political-actors-industrial-scale-problem-oxford-report