I’m indebted to Leah Gunn Barrett for her help in tracking down the evidence.
First, from a European Parliament report in 2020:
Market forces, technological advances and price developments will continue to drive offshore renewable energy growth over the coming years. Nonetheless, such a change in pace requires overcoming a number of obstacles and ensuring that throughout the supply chain all players can both accelerate and sustain this increase in deployment rate. A greater involvement of the EU and of Member States’ governments is needed, as under current policies the present and projected installation capacity would lead to only approximately 90 GW in 2050.
https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=COM:2020:741:FIN&qid=1605792629666#footnote14
Second, from Offshore Wind Scotland:
The east coast of Scotland is currently home to the bulk of our offshore wind farms, in various stages of development. Projects include those in operation, those under construction and those that are still in the planning pipeline.
Our oldest operational project, Robin Rigg, dates from 2010 and is in the Solway Firth on the southwest coast. Taken together, these projects amount to over 10GW of offshore wind.
Our latest leasing round, ScotWind, will add a further 25GW to this total over the next 10 years and will extend the wind farms into the west and the northern coasts as well as northern isles. ScotWind also includes 15GW of commercial floating wind sites which will establish Scotland as the number one market for floating wind development.
In addition, there is a ScotWind Clearing Round underway which will see an 18th site added to the ScotWind round. The NE1 site to the East of Shetland is also a floating wind site and could represent up to 2GW of additional capacity.
ScotWind will soon be joined with further projects in our INTOG leasing round aimed at the electrification of our offshore oil and gas infrastructure to help decarbonise their production energy. This will be the first such leasing round in the world aimed at helping the oil and gas industry in the UK reach their Net Zero Basin target as part of the North Sea Transition Deal. All of the above puts Scotland in the top ten of global offshore wind markets with up to 42GW deliverable before 2035.
https://www.offshorewindscotland.org.uk/
Scotland’s 42GWh by 2035 is at least 46.66% of the EUs North Sea basin 90GWh even by 2050.
The EU’s population around the North Sea basin is around 200 million. Scotland’s is 5.4 million, 2.7%.
Talking-up Scotland 
… but using These Islands Wind -Powered Calculator ( pat.pending ) this figure is actually only 6% of the North Sea Basin – honest !
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Ah, but …. Whit aboot thon ‘poolin an sharin’ that Bodger Broon keeps tellin us aboot? If wee pool the population o ‘These Islands’, then it rises to nearly 70 million, which is aboot 35% o the North Sea Basin population. That’s nearer tae 47% than 2.7% is so Scotland isnae really that good. An since that 2.7% ur guzzling even mair Buckfast these days so the Herald an Scotsman tells us they’re a too bevvied tae produce renewable energy, an so the South o England will again huv tae help they subsidy drunkies (d’ye see that wee pun therr????)
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Thanks for these figures.
Have you though about asking “These Islands” what they think of your rather more intelligible report?
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Ask These Islands? Pwah! We’re in a bigger league.
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I can recall Betty Harvie Anderson argue that the fish in the North Sea were able to swim out of Scottish waters at will, therefore “Scotland” could not claim them.
Using the same “logic”, if some of the wind came from England or Norway, would they then claim the energy produced as theirs?
Isnt that, in fact, the Labour party plan?
“Great British Energy”, in London with Lard Baron Ffoulksakia as CEO.
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Sorry about this but this should be put to DRoss.
UK gave away ‘far too much for far too little’ in free trade deal with Australia, says George Eustice, blaming Liz Truss
Admitted this in Parliament now he is a back bencher just shows the sheer hypocrisy of these *******
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Ah, the broad sloping shoulders of “Better Together with a layer of Teflon…..
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Excellent, I’m sure the dog-food salesman will be along in a minute with an apology…cough…
Despite all these figures being bandied about over current and future capacity, I’m a little “Kevin Hague” (Scotney rhyming slang) on where Scotland currently stands on self sustainability on wind generation, and I’m not referring to earlier observation on wind-powered annual production in Scotland being just shy of 100%, but rather where we are in terms of base load on any given day.
I’m acutely aware of the complications wrt energy auctions and wind-gennies being turned off on the day for balancing, PLUS the monopoly on interconnects ONLY to the south. But IIRC the anemometers on these stations still report wind speeds and what WOULD be available were they required to generate to the operators, so there must surely be someone with a reasonable grasp on where wind generation capacity currently (pardon ‘the pun) stands ?
The extension of wind-generating capacity westward will no doubt alter the generation game (copyright Bruce Forsyth) markedly, as it’s always blowing somewhere in Scotland as historic records show, the fabled “dead calm” such as ‘the linesman for the county” and the pro-nuclear brigade are prone to deploy has no record despite “..in my opinion” specials to the camera.
I’m sincerely curious just how far we are as a country are from not relying on this “gas generated electricity” device as baseload rather than top-up. The Tory “Energy Market” trick almost wrecked the EU after adopting it, there was no meltdown but reform is slow when 27 countries must agree.
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Even if you take the (hopeful) projection of 300GW from the whole EU maritime area in 2050 (in the linked report), Scotland’s figure of 42GW by 2035 represents 14% – substantially greater than the figure from the Excel for Dummies guy. And who knows what Scotland will achieve by 2050!
By the way, as I write this, 8.5% of Scotland’s electricity is being generated from fossil fuels. The figure for England is 41.9%, and for Wales it’s 74.5%.
https://electricityproduction.uk/in/wales/
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