Unison, a trade union, does not publish its findings in a way that can be properly scrutinised, picking and choosing, with its press allies, to get a shocking headline.
So, I have had to scrabble around to get the data trends from their sites and from newspaper reports.
First, two key statements from the above Herald story:
The last explanation is commonly the best for understanding supposed increases in crime. NHS Scotland has implemented a simpler, online procedure, which any social scientist might be particularly interested in.
However, leaving that aside the reporting is wrong-headed.
So, 17 557 is ‘soaring?’
Why then in 2015 were there 18,636 cases?
In 2019, reported cases fell to 14,714, before climbing again to 17 557 in 2021/22.
These are annual fluctuations which all statisticians recognise and which mean that you need to look at around 5 or more years of data to detect any reliable trend.
What is the trend from 2015? Down. If there has been an increase in reporting, the trend might be even more down.