BBC Scotland have headlined this one-week variation, not evidence of any trend, with a view to scaring their audience.
One-week variations are not a trend. In the last 8 weeks we’ve seen these percentages seen in 4 hours:
65, 66.3, 67.6, 65.1, 65, 66.1, 67.7, 63.5.
That’s flat, stable. Let’s see what happens in the next three weeks before we claim anything more.
The report includes these ridiculous claims from their Health Correspondent, Lisa Winters:
Doctors working in emergency medicine have issued stark warnings recently about the impact of long waits in A&E. It is simply not safe, and patients are dying as a result, they say.
Like the rest of the NHS, a major part of the problem is bed capacity in hospitals.
Too many beds are taken up with patients who don’t need hospital treatment any more but can’t get home because of pressures in social care.https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-62969233
I’ve dealt with these claims before. Here are the answers again:
There is no shortage of beds in NHS Scotland with around twice as many per head of population than NHS England: https://www.interweavetextiles.com/how-many-hospital-beds-uk/
There are over 50% more nurses, per head of population in Scotland, to treat the patients: https://www.gov.scot/publications/foi-19-00620/
In September 2022 there were typically only around around 600 in hospital compared to more than 2 000 in March 2022. https://www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
There is no correlation between A&E waiting times and deaths as the ambulance prioritising system and the triage system in hospitals ensure that those at risk are cared for extremely quickly. At worst, delays result in longer waiting times only for those cases in which to do so is not life-threatening. The RCEM know this fine well.
The report, of course does not tell us that the rate in England for August was 58%.