The Daily Record/Sunday Mail pays for a poll then goes on to completely fail to understand what it doesn’t tell them.
The highlights other than the headline are these:
The SNP would fail to win a Yes vote in the wake of the Alex Salmond inquiry, a new poll has revealed. A bombshell survey found that the majority of people in Scotland no longer want to break away from the rest of the United Kingdom. It is clear evidence that the feud between First Minister Nicola Sturgeon and her former mentor now threatens to destroy their political dream. The Survation survey for the Sunday Mail revealed support for independence has dropped from 58 per cent in October to a 50/50 split.
As I’ve pointed out already today, this is only one poll, the first after a long trend of increasing support and recently a flattening with Yes at around 4% ahead. There is no drop of any until we get more polls saying the same thing.
The fall from 58% in October to 50% now is imagined . They’re cherry-picking one Ipsos MORI graph which they no doubt ignored at the time and comparing it with their Survation poll. Ipsos MORI tend to go high while Survation tend to go low because their methods differ. They’re not comparable.
Look at the graph again:
There hasn’t been a fall in the trend since early 2017.
‘It is clear evidence that the feud between First Minister Nicola Sturgeon and her former mentor now threatens to destroy their political dream.’
Really? That’s a claim of such staggering imbecility, it took my breath away.
Why? Well mainly because they don’t appear to have asked that question – has the feud made you less likely to vote for independence?
Ipsos MORI did ask if it had affected how their sample might vote in the next Holyrood election. Only 5 out of 1 031 agreed that it might. Clear evidence that it doesn’t threaten anyone’s dream?