BBC Scotland’s Christopher Sleight off-hands this to us:
First Minister Nicola Sturgeon says that falling Covid-19 deaths in care homes and among the oldest Scots is the first “hard evidence” the vaccination programme is working. Can this drop in deaths be attributed to the vaccine, or could there be another cause?
Anon of BBC Scotland does its best to undermine the truth by dancing around the essential facts confirming both the First Minister’s claim and the far greater cut in deaths in Scotland than in England, clearly due to the Scottish strategy of protecting the care home as a priority above all else.
Most evasive of all is this:
Neither the Pfizer nor Oxford-AstraZeneca vaccine have an immediate effect. The jabs will take two to three weeks to provide some level of protection, with maximum protection following administration of the second dose several weeks later. Because of that, an instant drop in care home deaths would not be expected. However, the latest National Records of Scotland data shows that Covid deaths in care homes are falling as a proportion of the total number of deaths.
Why not look at the actual number of deaths? See this:
Never mind the percentage of all deaths that were in care homes. That has been used in the past to hide the actual scale of the deaths in England and to suggest they were higher in Scotland.
The actual number has fallen from a peak of 143 in Week 2 by which time Scotland had vaccinated 75% of care home residents but England had only done around 25%.
Two to three weeks later, as pointed out by the BBC, there is some protection. Look at the fall in deaths between weeks 4 and 5. What else but the Scottish Government’s strategy to prioritise the care homes above all else, while being accused of being slow with the other groups, could have caused this?
BBC Scotland offers no other cause. There is none.
In the week-ending 7th February, Week 5, there were 1 330 deaths in English care homes but only 58 in Scottish care homes.
England has ten times the population so had the rate been the same as in Scotland there would have been around 580 deaths. The rate, thanks to the Johnson regime strategy is 2.3 times higher.
You won’t find the above in the BBC Scotland report.