I rarely predict anything but this is, I think, a special moment in the history of the Labour Party in Scotland.
There was a real Scottish Labour Party once.
R B Cunninghame Graham, a strong supporter of Scottish independence, was its first MP, having defected from the Liberals in 1888, but by 1895 it had dissolved itself and most members followed Keir Hardie into the British Independent Labour Party.
In 2019, Monica Lennon, above, defied the whip and abstained in a vote on a second Scottish independence referendum. She is thought to be, at least, in favour of the proposal and perhaps, as a younger member, less rigid in her thinking.
Perhaps she has come to realise that, with the repeated return of the Right in the UK Labour Party, over the last hundred years and more, that only support for independence offers the prospect of the survival of a Labour party in Scotland?
Quite a significant part of the current SNP support used to vote Labour. Many will still have a form of attachment to it. If the party leadership came out firmly for independence, some would return.
There would, of course, be a small risk of splitting the pro-Independence vote in May but it’s probably too early for such a seismic change to be implemented and come the 2nd Referendum, later in the year or in 2022, SNP and Labour on the same platform would be an irresistible force.
This will be, I predict, an historic time. If the Scottish Labour membership choose Anas Sarwar, a return to Blairism and the UK in isolation, they are doomed to a slow death and to oblivion. If they choose Lennon, they might, just might, stop the decline and gradually become a credible presence in Scottish politics again.