From BBC Scotland last night:
The number of people in intensive care has risen from 109 to 123, the highest daily jump since October.
When you see that, what’s the first or second thing you think?
How many ICU beds are there in NHS Scotland?
On January 8th 2021, according to the official figures, there were 700+.
So, ICU occupancy is 17.57%. It is climbing quite steeply but infection rates have been flat, slightly falling, for more than a week now:
The increase from 109 to 123 was the consequence of the surge in cases from the 28th to the 31st of December and the high plateau until the 7th of January. The death rate is tragically peaking, with the same lag of around 10 days, but will reduce.
I’m not saying it’s not serious and concerning but it’s under control. The message is clear. Keep going because it can be done.