NICOLA Sturgeon has issued a stark warning that “the next few weeks may be the most dangerous we’ve faced” since the start of the pandemic. The call for caution from the First Minister comes as Scotland recorded 2,539 new cases of coronavirus in the last 24-hour period – while 2,622 new cases were confirmed on Hogmanay.
So that’s 2 622 minus 2 539 giving us a fall in the last 24 hours of 83.
I’m not doubting the threat or the importance of the need to stick to the plan but panic helps no one.
Cases numbers are climbing, they’re not ‘soaring’ or ‘surging’. There’s no sign of a ‘tsunami.’
The infection level in England is three times higher, death rate is twice as high, hospital admissions are twice as high, ICU admission is three times more common, hospital-acquired Covid is up to twelve times higher and staff absence is at least four times higher.
The R number is up but still around 0.9 to 1.1. In London and the South it could be 1.5.
Perhaps most important, there are only 70 in ICU, up from 52 a week ago, only just over one-third of the peak of 208 in April.
The capacity of Scotland’s ICU is currently around 700.