The Herald’s health correspondent manages to develop a case for stricter, legally-enforced, lockdown in Scotland based on data from South Africa and South-east England and allegedly ‘woeful’ compliance ,despite evidence to the contrary, in Scotland, where the Herald is published and read, though by woeful numbers.
The ONS has just informed us that the infection level is falling, uniquely, in Scotland. There were fewer new cases yesterday than the day before and the 7-day average is only slightly up on the previous week. The infection rate in Scotland is currently far lower than in England or Wales. Why might that be?
In August, the Lancet reported far higher levels of confidence in the Scottish government than in the UK Government and found evidence that confidence in government leads to greater compliance. Over the pandemic, England has had 50% more infections per head of population. Why might that be?
Should a health correspondent in Scotland have some awareness of the situation here?
Quite Anglocentric in her thinking, she predicts another ‘March-style lengthy lockdown.’ I predict the Scottish Government will use the evidence as it emerges and stick with the current ‘levels’ model.