In a major breakthrough, the Herald almost gets in right. The second wave was, on the evidence, based on open borders and student outbreaks but a ‘spike in Covid spreading in hospitals?‘ sorry, no.
The supposed evidence for the ‘spike‘, though the word is not repeated, lies in the published PHS data:
The increase, beginning around 20th September, to 189 hospital acquired cases, is still only 2% of the 9 303 cases reported in the week-ending 25th October.
I’ve reported elsewhere that the rate in England ranges from 17% to 25%!
This small increase is the perhaps unavoidable consequence of dealing with a much larger community spread of an airborne virus that in its aerosol form does not even respond to the pull of gravity and which began much earlier:
The second wave began at the beginning of August and grew quickly, fed by returning air travellers and later, students.
The increase in hospital spread is not one of the causes of the second wave but an effect of it.
Largely unaffected by the small increase in hospital infection, the number in ICU is flat at only a 7 day average of 6 new admisisons per day.
All talk of crisis is scare.