On the day the 5 Tier strategy launches, based on science, approved after consultation in Holyrood, well explained and with popular support, the evidence is already visible.
Above, new cases fall to below 1 000 for first time in more than two weeks. Seven day average of 1 162 is down from peak of 1 452 on 26th October, by 20% – steady but sure.
Hospital and ICU admissions lag 1 to 2 weeks behind but increase is slowing.
The seven day average for admissions was up 18% in last 7 days, up 31.4% in the previous 7 days and up 53% in the 7 before that.
Absolutely no suggestion of a risk to NHS?
And, a full lockdown in areas with no or single figure daily increases easily mopped up by superb track and tracing teams?