Even if there is a weekend effect, the number of new cases in Scotland is at worst on a plateau, with 5 days of figures lower than on Tuesday 29th September. Might this be an early sign of the Scottish Government’s restrictions, including no home visits, which began 13 days ago, having an effect?
No ban on home visits was applied in England and infection levels have begun to soar, in the North-West.
The sharp increase in the last two days are, in part, due to delays in reporting. Had they been recorded when they happened, the apparent plateau from the 29th September to 2nd October would be replaced by an upward slope.
How this fits with the ONS claim two days ago, that the rise in cases in England may be ‘levelling off’ escapes me.