Four weeks after Scotland began to ease out of lock-down with pubs and restaurants re-opening indoors, we see the 7 day average for new infections up from 15 at around 50 with no immediate sign of a fall.

It is disappointing but it is also worth keeping in perspective.

Two other small countries, much praised, which had pushed the level down to zero for several weeks are now experiencing similar problems.

First, on Ireland in the Guardian yesterday:

Ireland reported 200 new Covid-19 cases arising from multiple clusters across the country on Saturday, the highest daily amount since the beginning of May. The country’s chief medical officer described this as “deeply concerning”. Ireland has reopened its economy at a slower pace than most European Union countries but that did not stop a rise in cases over the last two weeks that led to the first localised reimposition of some restrictions last week. “We now have multiple clusters with secondary spread of disease and rising numbers of cases in many parts of the country. This is deeply concerning. NPHET [Ireland’s public health team] will monitor this extremely closely over the coming days,” Ronan Glynn said in a statement.

Second on New Zealand, with no land borders but still a large international airport:

New Zealand reported seven new cases of coronavirus up to Saturday morning after a lockdown in Auckland was extended. Six of the seven new cases were linked to the cluster at the centre of all the previous community cases, said Ashley Bloomfield, the director-general of health. Up to Saturday, the authorities in New Zealand have reported 37 cases connected to the outbreak with 19 other people in quarantine.

Third, highlighting the greater challenge Scotland faces having a land border with areas of high infection, see this: