Pro-Indy parties at 58% – Lib Dems get 3% and go home to prepare for the end

Only 6 months ago!

From YouGov for the Sunday Times, with fieldwork on 25th and 26th, with a Scottish sub-sample of 152 18+ adults and with the poll on 18th-19th results in brackets:

  • Con: 20% (25%)
  • Lab: 16% (15)
  • LD: 3% (4%)
  • SNP: 54% (51%)
  • Greens: 4% (2%)

This reinforces the results of the smaller Survation poll [87], for the overlapping dates of 22nd to 26th May, giving the SNP 55%.

It suggests erosion of the Tory vote due to the Cummings saga though less dramatic than the 10% return in the Survation poll.

The Lib Dems look simply irrelevant if slightly more alive than in one poll recently where they got only 1%.

Further strengthening SNP confidence, the Scottish sub-sample was most certain it would vote, at 70% absolutely certain, 10 points or more than any of the non-Scottish parts.

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/7p6v6u1zbh/TheTimes_VI_Results_200526_W.pdf

11 thoughts on “Pro-Indy parties at 58% – Lib Dems get 3% and go home to prepare for the end”

  1. Good poll, but the election is still a fair bit away,
    Vote SNP 1, Green 2 at next years Holyrood election, to devastate the Unionist MSPs and to ensure a mandate for an Indie Referendum.

    Liked by 1 person

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    1. Vote Green?

      You are having a laugh!

      The Scottish Electorate tried that last time and got Wee Woke Patrick standing with the BritNats to repeal the Offensive Behaviour at Football and Threatening Communications (Scotland) Act 2012.

      Not voting to amend it and make it work properly but a full repeal and still no alternative offered)!

      By that action the Greens tacitly endorsed Sectarianism (the BritNat divide and conquer tool) and endorsed Threatening Communication (the favoured tool of the science denying trans lobby to shutdown debate and punish ‘heretics’ who believe in Biological Science)!

      They also push wokism instead of Indy every budget!

      So no, Alex the Greens had their chance and in my opinion have blown it.

      A second Indy Party (who’s main focus is on Independence above all else and will force the SNP to act on the multiple mandates we have given them for IndyRef2 or a legal challenge to the Treaties of Union) will get my “additional member” vote.

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  2. Political acuity of the No Sh1t Sherlock variety displayed by Vince Cable.

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/jul/12/strange-death-of-liberal-democrats-leadership-vote

    ““I think it’s very serious,” says Cable. “I don’t think it’s terminal: these things never are. But it’s extremely difficult, on two levels. One is that the values and policies that we stood for, and argued for, are currently out of favour with the public. That’s a problem that affects not just us, but the Labour party, too. There’s a big issue there.”

    A pause. “And simply in terms of numbers … well, we’ve lost over half our councillors. We’ve lost almost all our MPs and MEPs, and almost all the people in the Scottish Assembly. So, you know, the institutional level of decline is dramatic, and the problems of rebuilding that are very substantial … Rebuilding from a rather shattered base is not going to be easy.””

    More recent, sharper and better political insight here

    Liked by 1 person

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    1. Vince Fable of the FibDems showing in July 2015 the Parties lack of understanding and distain of all things Scottish that we all know and love (and get from Wee Willie 1p and AC-H ) to this very day!

      😉

      For the avoidance of doubt:

      The Scottish Assembly was a proposed legislature for Scotland that would have devolved a set list of powers from the Parliament of the United Kingdom in the Scotland Act 1978!

      The Scottish Executive was established in 1999 under the Scotland Act 1998
      which created a devolved administration of Scotland in line with the result of the 1997 referendum on Scottish devolution.

      It’s name was formally changed in law to Scottish Government by the Scotland Act 2012.

      So it has never been “The Scottish Assembly” and at the time of the article in Sams link had been known as the Scottish Government for 3 Years!

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  4. My theory (i do a lot of that) is that any party can gain power by taking a divisive issue which very roughly has equal support in a country. The more outlandish or original the better but it has to have strong emotional support. Then that party takes roughly half the votes and all the other parties votes are split and you win.
    This is what Spaffler Moronson did. He didn’t care about Brexit he just stole the idea off UKIP and knew it would work or at least Cummings and Gove did.
    The SNP did the same but believed in it. The only question now is, why haven’t we got Independence?
    Sorry but the only conclusion i can come up with is that some of the elite in the SNP don’t care enough about it or actively don’t want it or have changed their minds.
    This theory is mine (or at least all the stupid bits) although i am sure it is has all analysed by historian studying the rise of fascism. In which case i am risk stating the blindingly obvious.
    It is scary.

    Liked by 2 people

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  5. I think it might actually be 60% for pro-indy parties.

    The detailed data tables show 2% for “another party”. That may be the new Independence for Scotland Party, as the fringe left wing parties have negligible support

    Liked by 1 person

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