Contrary to Carlaw claims care home deaths in Scotland falling faster to level below that in England and Wales

From indyref2soon:

Latest weekly Covid-19 deaths in care homes:-

ONS (England & Wales) down 13% to 2423 (41/million)
NRS (Scotland) down 24% to 238 (44/million).

So England & Wales has 10.2 times as many as Scotland, and the deaths in Scotland are reducing nearly twice as fast currently.

The ratio of populations is about 10.9 for comparison, but care home populations would be more relevant.

I can’t find care home populations, or number of care homes, but there is data for how many Nursing Homes (care home with nursing) there are in each country. There are about 510 in Scotland and 4,082 in England & Wales, a ratio of 8.0. So they had more deaths per nursing home (0.59) than we did (0.47) in that week.

Caveat:
ONS data is for week ending 1 May –
https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/bulletins/deathsregisteredweeklyinenglandandwalesprovisional/weekending1may2020

NRS data is for week ending 10 May –
https://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/files//statistics/covid19/covid-deaths-report-week-19.pdf

Breaking news (well, a few hours ago) for England & Wales:
“Coronavirus: real care home death toll double official figure, study says” –
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/may/13/coronavirus-real-care-home-death-toll-double-official-figure-study-says

5 thoughts on “Contrary to Carlaw claims care home deaths in Scotland falling faster to level below that in England and Wales

  1. “The ratio of populations is about 10.9 for comparison, but care home populations would be more relevant.”
    last time I checked this it was 7.8%
    Are you using Scotland/UK or Scotland/England and Wales?

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    1. Strangely, you have to hunt for the mid-2019 data, which is buried in a spreadsheet –

      UK GB E&W England Wales
      66,796,807 64,903,140 59,439,840 56,286,961 3,152,879
      Scotland NI
      5,463,300 1,893,667

      Ratio = 10.88

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