BBC Scotland’s glass is one-third empty to conceal NHS Scotland’s Covid-19 success

How BBC Scotland could have reported

Headlined instead:

A third of Covid-19 intensive care patients do not recover, study shows

and shared [bottom left] with BBC UK:

Is a third of ICU patients not recovering, high or low? Is it success or failure? It’s headlined by BBC Scotland and shared across BBC UK to suggest a scandal.

What do we need? Context!

There’s none. Here’s some:

According to GlobalData Epidemiologist Bahram Hassanpourfard, the global recovery rate is 32%. Hassanpourfard drew attention to the ‘UK’ rate of only 0.46% but I suspect that is based on inadequate data coming from the ONS.

As far as I can see, the ONS is not recording recovery rates at all. Why?

https://www.citymetric.com/fabric/epidemiologist-update-uk-reports-notably-low-recovery-rate-5077

The Scottish recovery rate is known, with 9 075 recovering from 13 486 cases and 1 857 deaths giving a rate of 67.3%.

https://www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/

Given that Scotland’s population has the lowest life expectancy in the UK and one of the lowest in Europe, it seems reasonable to give NHS Scotland credit for this.

2 thoughts on “BBC Scotland’s glass is one-third empty to conceal NHS Scotland’s Covid-19 success

  1. Meanwhile, in another place…

    Chris Giles
    @ChrisGiles_
    · 12 May
    Update, following today’s official @ONS data of total deaths, a cautious estimate of the number of UK excess deaths up to 12 May is

    59,700

    Of these 51,000 have happened and 8,700 are estimates bringing the official data up to date using evidence from hospitals

    1/
    Show this thread

    ·

    Liked by 2 people

  2. I’m never really sure how comfortable I am with simple Scotland/ England comparisons, as they sometimes seem to serve to strengthen the idea of linkage between us.

    But later in that same story is the note that elsewhere in the UK 47% of Intensive care admissions for covid have died. Now that should be worthy of comment as it means, in a silly % world, that Scotland’s outcomes are 26% more successful than England’s.

    Like

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