Throughout April, the FT has been exposing the stark truth about covid deaths in the UK and, in particular in England, suggesting with tragic confidence, a figure well in excess of 40 000 more than a week ago:
With all recorded Scottish covid deaths at 2 272, 5 days later, this suggests a death rate around twice that per capita in the UK.
While the reasons will be complex and many, Scotland’s more resilient NHS with higher staffing, fewer prior hospital infections, such as norovirus, due to inhouse cleaning, better PPE provision, 50 assessment centres diverting cases away from GP surgeries, clearer more open government guidance, more disciplined distancing in urban areas than in English cities and no care homes failing inspections, unlike large numbers in England failing on infection control, must surely be playing a part.*
Take into account Scotland’s pre-existing significantly higher mortality rate and the figures are even more impressive.
With chilling predictability the Herald has pounced on rumours that the Johnson regime may have come closer to hitting their testing target after sending in the army [thus ‘surge’ as in Iraq?], but still not hitting it, as evidence the Scottish Government has not helped in that surge.
Way down the page we see a wee reminder that the UK and Scottish statistics are probably not comparable.
Then we see the FM has warned that testing is not a panacea and can be unreliable.
In Germany it is emerging that mass testing may have led to over-confidence and too-quick lock-down reductions, triggering a second wave.
- All of these claims are evidence-based. Search the blog for them or if in difficulty ask me.