New cases fall and despite delayed figures ‘spike’ is mortality trend containable?

A close up of a map

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https://www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/

Close-up of new infections and new deaths:

https://www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/

It’s not clear how Scotland Coronavirus Tracker has been able to redistribute the 40 deaths announced ‘late’ yesterday but, based on the above, the new deaths trend seems relatively flat if elevated.

More obviously encouraging is the apparent trend in new cases, down for the second day. This is one to watch for later today.

7 thoughts on “New cases fall and despite delayed figures ‘spike’ is mortality trend containable?

  1. As usual, this is an informative counter to the usual media practice of seeking the worst, and, probably, most fear-inducing , datum and reporting on that, usually, without contextual information.

    While you and I are not epidemiologists and not au fair with more sophisticated approaches, they will use (well, me anyway!), the additional plots you have shown, using the same data set, indicate that there are other indications which can be drawn from the same data. These are important to help us get a more balanced impression.

    The fact that data can be presented validly in a variety of ways, is often dismissed as ‘you can prove anything using statistics’ (and, as Homer Simpson added, ‘62.3% of people know that’). Of course such a cliche is total bollocks, but, it is used to ‘refute by sneer’, by people who only want their datum and their prejudice to be seen.

    Liked by 1 person

      1. In the distant future when scholars are studying our writings I hope they will take into account the scourge of predictive text and autocorrect in distorting the meaning of things which auld codgers with stubby fingers and reading specs perched on the end of wur noses have tried to write.

        Liked by 3 people

  2. Alasdair, yes, my mobile phone will let me say nothing informal. Trying to call my wife a meanie it insisted on Melanie. I went straight to listen to her fabby version of Ruby Tuesday.

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