40 death announcements delayed by family notification procedures were added to the 10 from the last 24 hours, announced today. This takes the mortality rate to 4.8% up from 3.2% yesterday.

These 40 deaths will be spread across a number of previous days in a distribution as yet unknown but will further clarify the trend.

On a positive note, the figure of 10 in the last 24 hours, down from 16 the previous day, suggests a still fairly ‘gentle’ curve.

The UK rate is 8.7% but seems likely to be affected in a similar way as full data from death certificates is released and the ONS predict it will be around 25%, higher putting the UK average at 11%, the same as Italy.