YouGov today for 5th to 6th November:
- Con 22%
- Lab 10%
- DimLeb 8%
- SNP 47%
- Brexit 5%
- Greens 8%
So, since the end of October, we have 50, 41, 47 and now another 47, giving an average over four polls of 46.25%.
Why pay particular attention to the YouGov sub-polls? Here’s what the ultra-numerate James Kelly has to say:
[T]he best we have to go on are YouGov’s Scottish subsamples, which do have a very large margin of error due to the small sample size, but nevertheless are superior to other firms’ subsamples as a result of being correctly structured and weighted.