In May 2022, the above claims were being made repeatedly by Scottish Labour. Yesterday, Baillie popped up shamelessly as the Covid Inquiry returned to England:

We’ve posted many times to dispute the above but now, from UK COVID-19 INQUIRY – MODULE 7 Closing statement on behalf of Public Health Scotland in the UK COVID-19 Inquiry relative to the Module 7 hearing, published today, the last word:

While PHS fully acknowledges that every death in a care home death was regrettable, its analysis did not find a statistically significant association between hospital discharge of any type and the occurrence of a care home outbreak, but could not rule out a small effect. What was found was that the risk of an outbreak was more strongly associated with increased care home size.

The conclusions of the PHS report are in line with other studies in the UK which found that the great majority of care home cases were found in individuals without a link to hospital discharge, i.e. cases infected from contact within the community, for example from either direct import in residents with access to the community or from their contact with other residents, staff, relatives or other visitors to the care home.

The Inquiry has heard evidence a number of times and across different modules (including from Professor Nicholas Phin, formerly of PHS [….] and also from Professor Laura Shallcross […] to the effect that hospital discharges were not the main driver of infection in care homes.

https://www.publichealthscotland.scot/publications/opening-statement-for-module-6-of-the-uk-covid-19-inquiry-on-behalf-of-public-health-scotland