Children’s mental health referrals and waiting times soar in England to three and four times the levels in Scotland as child poverty, youth violence, youth unemployment and domestic violence fall steadily here

In the Guardian today, the above graph and:

More than 1 million children were referred to mental health services across England last year, with referrals up 10% from the year previous, according to a report by the children’s commissioner, Rachel de Souza. She said the country faced a “crisis” in young people’s mental health.

The number of patients who had an active referral to children and young people’s mental health services across England surpassed 1 million for the first time in 2024-25. This was almost double the number recorded in 2018-19, and an almost 10% rise on the previous year.

https://www.theguardian.com/society/2026/jun/29/england-children-mental-health-crisis-million-referrals

and

All things being equal, per head of population, you might expect Scotland to have had around 10% or just over 100 000.

According to Public Health Scotland, the figure was 33 316, around one third of the level in England.

https://publichealthscotland.scot/publications/child-and-adolescent-mental-health-services-camhs-waiting-times/child-and-adolescent-mental-health-services-camhs-waiting-times-quarter-ending-december-2025/

The average* wait for treatment in Scotland was around 5 weeks or 35 days, just over a quarter of the length.

Also Scotland met the national standard (90% starting treatment within 18 weeks) throughout 2025, with quarterly figures typically 90–91.8%.

https://www.gov.scot/news/continued-progress-on-child-mental-health-waiting-times/

*Public Health Scotland (PHS) reports do not publish a single overall mean/average wait time. Using the median (50th percentile) we get consistently 5 weeks across most 2025 quarters. This means half of those starting treatment began within about 5 weeks of referral.

What might explain this shocking difference? – Lower child poverty, lower violent youth crime, lower youth unemployment, lower levels of domestic abuse seen by children?

For the evidence that all of these are true, evidence-based claims, try searching for them here, (the magnifying glass icon).


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