Holyrood 2026 – SNP’s lead widening steadily

politics.co.uk

Most recent 3 polls from 4 December 2024 to 13 January 2025, average SNP lead is 15%.

Previous 3 polls from 10 September 2024 to 15 November 2024, SNP lead is 5%.

Previous 3 polls from 20 August 2024 to 5 September 2024, SNP lead is 3.7%.

Previous 3 polls from 21 June 2024 to 26 June 2024, Labour lead is 1%.

Previous 3 polls from 3 June 2024 to 14 June 2024, Labour lead is 0.7%.

Clusters of polls are more reliable than single polls often with quite small samples so these five 3-poll clusters offer a clearer picture of the trend in support for the SNP and Labour as we approach the 12 months running up to the next Holyrood election in May 2026.

It’s not looking at all good for Labour and suggests an ever-widening lead for the SNP with only just over a year to go. A year, of course, is a long time in politics.

Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_Scottish_Parliament_election

5 thoughts on “Holyrood 2026 – SNP’s lead widening steadily

  1. The longer that Starmers labour party stay in power at westminster, the more that it helps the independence movement.

    And I cannot see any reason at all why they would get removed before the Holyrood election.

    It’s just a question of whether they can hold onto third place, IYAM.

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  2. Labour’s slogan ‘Vote Change’ Problem is they didn’t tell the public threat of the sentence ‘ Vote Change to be worse off than you already are’.

    Liked by 1 person

  3. I suggest the gap is widening solely due to disenchantment with Labour, the SNP vote is not yet engaging…

    Even were London Labour to do something right over the next year, the damage already done will still be front and centre for the 2026 Holyrood elections.

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  4. Electoral Calculus latest polling claim “Scottish” Labour” will win 27 MPs to the SNP 20.

    Stick a finger in the air, and whistle Gawd save yer Anas ?

    gavinochiltree

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