The Idiocrat

By Professor John Robertson OBA, former Associate Dean (Quality Assurance) Faculty of Education, UWS

In the Herald today, recycling the recent lies of Prof (sic) Lindsay Paterson, Neil Mackay has:

The debasement of Scottish education is turning us into an idiocracy.

Takes one to know one I suppose but I guess he’s not that daft, just desperate to keep his job.

The facts:

First, in Secondary schools:

At SCQF level 7 (Advanced Higher), the gap in 2009/10, two years after the SNP first came to power, was 24.1 and by 2021/22 it was 22.2, though down from 25 in the previous year but more important the most disadvantaged group at this level was increasing in size dramatically.

In 2009/10 only 4.7% of those in the most disadvantaged 20% had achieved at this level but by 2021/22, the figure was 10.3%, more than doubling in only 12 years. Remember also, that 20% means nearly 3 000 pupils every year.

https://www.tes.com/magazine/news/secondary/sqa-results-2023

Second, in Primary Schools:

The poverty-related attainment gaps in literacy and numeracy levels across primary schools have seen the biggest decreases since records began, official statistics show.

The gap between the proportion of primary pupils from the most and least-deprived areas achieving expected levels has narrowed by 3.4 percentage points in literacy and 3.7 percentage points in numeracy, according to the Achievement of Curriculum for Excellence Levels (ACEL) 2021/22. This marks the largest narrowing of the gap in a year since consistent records began in 2016/17.

https://www.gov.scot/news/record-narrowing-of-the-attainment-gap/

Third, why increases in attainment matter more than any gap:

Critics can be found in much of the media shouting about our supposed failure to sufficiently narrow the gap between the most and the least deprived.

At SCQF level 7, the gap in 2009/10, two years after the SNP first came to power, was 24.1 and by 2021/22 it was still 22.2, though down from 25 in the previous year. If you have limited understating of statistics or cynically only wish to accuse the SNP Government of failure, these statistics hide the true nature of change.

In 2009/10 only 4.7% of those in the most disadvantaged 20% had achieved at this level but by 2021/22, the figure was 10.3%, more than doubling in only 12 years. Remember also, that 20% means nearly 3 000 pupils every year.

Over the same period 28.8% of those in the most advantaged 20% had achieved at this level and by 2021/22, the figure was 38.8%, a smaller in percentage but larger in actual numbers,  increase.

So, despite the major improvement among those from the most deprived 20%, there had also been a significant improvement among the least deprived 20%. So, the gap had only narrowed slightly, after widening in the previous year, and two successes, one in a priority area for government, the gap widened in 2020/21 and then only narrowed in 2021/22, is then reported as failure.

We could, of course easily narrow the gap by simply denying access to Level 7 for many of those in the least disadvantaged 20%. That’s exactly the kind of social engineering they did in Albania for much of the second half of the 20th Century and in Communist China during the Cultural Revolution in the 1960s and 1970s.

The attainment gap is a largely artificial and mostly political idea with no meaning for those it describes. What really matters is the massive improvement in the life chances of those in the most disadvantaged 20%. It’s not enough, of course, but this fact relates to the real experience of thousands rather than that of the media and opposition party opportunism.

There have been similar improvements in attainment for the other three groups between the most and the least disadvantaged. The gaps between them and the least disadvantaged are narrower and, of course, of no interest to the media.

Taken together and based on evidence, we see a very different picture of the achievements of the SNP in Government, in this last decade and more, in assisting schools and learners to achieve all that they can achieve.

In the end, of course, most of the credit goes to the learners and to the schools but just as the opposition parties would want to claim credit had they been in government and, had the trends that matter gone the other way, they would blame us for it, the SNP in government deserves its share.


https://www.gov.scot/publications/summary-statistics-attainment-initial-leaver-destinations-no-5-2023-edition/documents/

http://zhaolearning.com/2014/03/09/how-does-pisa-put-the-world-at-risk-part-1-romanticizing-misery/

https://progressgp.wordpress.com/2014/08/03/does-south-koreas-education-system-hurt-its-students/

https://thediplomat.com/2017/03/hong-kongs-wave-of-student-suicides/

https://www.gov.scot/publications/summary-statistics-attainment-initial-leaver-destinations-no-5-2023-edition/documents/

https://www.gov.scot/news/record-narrowing-of-the-attainment-gap/

9 thoughts on “The Idiocrat

  1. This is off topic but…

    I signed up just a few days ago and this blog has already given me several reasons to be cheerful.
    You present clear, precise information with source information by way of back up. All done in a concise format so I can read, remember AND then get on with the rest of my day.

    brilliant.

    Liked by 5 people

  2. I will take great pleasure in flaunting this at the educationally challenged on X. Those who think they are so much smarter than us nats/cult followers/seps or whatever name they wish to call us.

    Like

  3. When it is pointed out that the actual levels of attainment of the lowest socioeconomic group have actually improved steadily and significantly this is dismissed by the media, the Tories and some in the teacher unions as the result of ‘dumbing down’ of the exam criteria. When asked to explain the rise in attainment in the same exams by the highest socioeconomic group this is ascribed to ‘the good work ethic of hard working aspirational families’.

    Lindsey Paterson is a statistician and KNOWS the concept of the ‘gap’ is an example of misuse of statistics.

    Liked by 4 people

  4. I tend to agree that measuring the attainment gap between the haves and the have less is spurious, what is important is that 10s of thousand more children from the have less are being given opportunities through the education system than ever before. A big clap for the teachers and a request to the media, stop pissing up my leg.

    The Ardrossan Saltcoats herald have a story today ‘ I think ‘, no doubt soon to be highlighted on the bbc blaming the SG for not getting the upgrade to the port completed.

    No doubt you’ll pick up on this👇

    Here’s a story from the same crap paper from 2023.

    https://www.ardrossanherald.com/news/23560955.ardrossan-harbour-redevelopment-still-three-years-away/

    Golfnut

    Liked by 3 people

  5. The 25% of mature students are not included. There is no attainment gap.

    30% of pupils from school, 25% mature students, 7%EU students. Foreign students. Scotland has 15 universities. Pop. 4.2million. The highest number in the world pro rata. Colleges and apprenticeships. 98% of pupils have a positive destination.

    1 in 20 people are neurodiverse. That is not recognised by Tories.

    Liked by 2 people

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