Third Scottish sub-poll confirms the tide has turned on Labour, the SNP are back on their feet and Reform are at the door

From Opinium for the Observer, on 16-18 October 2024 a sub-poll of 123 Scots has:

  • Con 16%
  • Lab 23%
  • LibDem 10%
  • SNP 26%
  • Reform 16%
  • Green 7%

This follows JLP on 11-13 October 11-13, with a sub-poll of145:

  • Cons – 25%
  • Labour – 16%
  • Lib Dems – 14%
  • Reform – 15%
  • SNP – 24%

and on 7 October, for More in Common, a sub-poll of 171:

  • Cons – 16%
  • Labour – 23%
  • Lib Dems – 10%
  • Reform – 16%
  • SNP – 26%

10 thoughts on “Third Scottish sub-poll confirms the tide has turned on Labour, the SNP are back on their feet and Reform are at the door

        1. ”There must be lights burning brighter somewhere
          Got to be birds flying higher in a sky more blue
          If I can dream of a better land
          Where all my brothers walk hand in hand
          Tell me why, oh why, oh why can’t my dream come true
          Oh why

          There must be peace and understanding sometime
          Strong winds of promise that will blow away the doubt and fear
          If I can dream of a warmer sun
          Where hope keeps shining on everyone
          Tell me why, oh why, oh why won’t that sun appear

          We’re lost in a cloud
          With too much rain
          We’re trapped in a world
          That’s troubled with pain
          But as long as a man
          Has the strength to dream
          He can redeem his soul and fly

          Deep in my heart there’s a trembling question
          Still I am sure that the answer, answer’s gonna come somehow
          Out there in the dark, there’s a beckoning candle, yeah
          And while I can think, while I can talk
          While I can stand, while I can walk
          While I can dream
          Oh, please let my dream
          Come true
          Right now
          Let it come true right now
          Oh yeah”

          JB

          Liked by 1 person

  1. Reform 15% – 16% ?

    Small sample but come on.

    Proof then that some fools (I am being measured here in how I describe them) who formerly may have once voted for the Tories (and once also voted for UKIP and other rag tag plastic political parties started or linked to Farage) now see the best way to stop Scotland being way better than some other parts of the UK is to copy how some voters (more fools) have voted elsewhere.

    Where in parts of England some constituencies have elected Reform UK MP’s into WM at the last GE. (They also elected UKIP and Brexit party MEP’s in the EU elections when we were still a part of the EU).

    This is also known as cutting one’s nose off to spite one’s face.

    Also known as Turkey’s voting for Xmas.

    So once again the majority in Scotland may have to suffer because of a minority of fools, if the polls do not change to show Reform party’s polling is way down.

    Fools whose main motivation to vote for parties like Reform UK is to try to help destroy Scotland in the same way England has been destroyed by English Nationalist parties like UKIP, Brexit Party and now another one of Farage’s political vehicles , Reform UK party.

    And who all , as supposed Political parties, give not a damn for Scotland or it’s people, but then neither does any of the people in Scotland who vote for these types of so called political parties.

    Rogue political parties who are more really the agents of the wealthy who are either uber wealthy Hedge Fund managers who started up a rogue right wing TV channel in the UK and who also recently bought a right wing British Political magazine. (no names as to whom I refer) .

    Reform UK party who endorse and promote private Healthcare via an insurance based system.

    A tiered system where you only get , as a health service, what you put in as a premium.

    But of course so called woke issues and so called illegal immigrants come way way before our actual own health and lives, and that of our families and friends too, as apparently our health and lives are deemed far far far less significant to plastic politicians like Reform UK and also seemingly their plastic voters aka fools.

    (Vote Reform UK party for change- said no one but the fools who parrot their slogans and soak up the fake news from their infiltration, as a political party, into a rogue newish right wing TV channel, in the newspapers who support them as a supposed political party and also the rogue political party themselves).

    Bottom line is , how hard is it for Scotland to just want to bloody well be a normal independent country, that could and should proudly , via a majority, reject all of these frauds and charlatans like Farage and his (way too) numerous supposed political parties and also reject many of the other supposed mainstream Pro UK political parties as well.

    Well so far it is seeming to be bloody impossible !

    I know I am not alone in being sick of it all (including sick of the fools who spoil it for the rest of us and trust me they are doing it deliberately too).

    Liked by 2 people

  2. 26£ looks good but the SNP still has Branchform, conspiracy charges and perverting the course of justice to negotiate.

    The will need much more

    Like

  3. Rules for some and rules for others or is it more punishment for some and no punishment for others as the following article confirms to be the case.

    SKY Online wrote:

    “Labour donor Lord Alli breached four parliamentary rules over his registration of interests, a standards watchdog has found”

    “Sir Keir Starmer’s largest donor was found to have failed to include all his roles at a charity, did not register he had a controlling interest in a media company and did not register he was a director of a British Virgin Islands-based firm in time”

    “Lord Alli, a TV executive who has given more than £700,000 to Labour over the past 20 years, was recommended to write a letter of apology to the chair of the Lords’ conduct committee, Baroness Manningham-Buller”

    “Write a letter of apology” ?

    Wow that is harsh.

    Sky then continued in stating:

    “In his letter, he wrote: “I am writing to you today to offer my apology for my breach of conduct by not registering my interests correctly.

    “I will endeavour to keep to the Code of Conduct at all times to avoid such circumstances again.”

    I hope he realises that in stating that now in his apology as in that he will “keep to the Code of Conduct at all times” that it is, as a statement, a tad – stable-door-Horse-bolted moment .

    One can only hope he does not suffer in way with being given such a harsh and cruel punishment, but he was lucky , as they could have made him write out his apology 100 times !

    Like

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