We’ve had a run of very negative polls recently, including YouGov, Savanta and Survation, based on weighting of their sample in line with the 2014 data to a ratio of 45/55 Y/N.
I can’t see the weighting for this.
It may have adopted the more updated 2024 data to a ratio of 49/51 Y/N weighting used by Ipsos.
Today, More in Common‘s MRP poll predicts ‘only’ 13 losses for the SNP: https://www.moreincommon.org.uk/general-election-2024/mrp/
More in Common‘s founders/owners, as with Ipsos, are international and non-partisan with regard to Scotland, as far as I can see.
Talking-up Scotland 'Albatraz' 
Polls are always wrong. Censored and fined many times. Paying Facebook for voters details illegally. Breaking electoral rules. Gerrymandering.
People who support Independence voting unionist will get nothing.
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I would not give any credence to opinion polls predicting seat outcomes a month out from the GE, no matter who does it….
What IS an interesting trend is the apparent difficulty polling companies seem to having in getting responses on the SNP – What would normally be a 2 day exercise has taken up to 5 days.
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Indeed Bob
NMRN
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Here is the reality and truth of Labour under Keir Starmer:
Journalist Peter Osborne tweeted:
“Starmer’s Labour Party has been captured by a small, highly determined right-wing clique, one that is as insouciant of Labour’s magnificent history and democratic tradition as it is contemptuous of ethnic minorities”
Journalist Michael Crick interviewed:
“Thinks it is disgraceful what has been going on with Labour. He said that as a self confessed Blairite and traditionally Labour right winger. I won’t be voting for Labour at this GE. The Stamerites have purged virtually everybody on the left. They purge them from being selected as candidates from the traditional selection processes that have been going on for the last three years. And in the end the left have up even standing. Then it was a complete waste of time that something will be found in their past that would disqualify them. Every party should be a broad church, and no matter what your politics, you should have some people on the other side, in your…in parliament, in your own, in the parliamentary party, or around the cabinet table. Because if all you have is Yes people there then you end up making bad decisions. Nobody challenges the Prime Minister. Nobody challenges the party leadership. And that is a sure recipe for bad decisions and a confident Prime Minister rather than a weak one, I think Starmer actually is a rather weak Labour leader in the way that he’s turned a blind eye to all of this. And a confident Prime Minister somebody like Clement Atlee or Harold Wilson or even Tony Blair was happy to have a sprinkling of left wingers around the cabinet table. In Blair’s case it wasn’t very many . But you did have Robin Cook and you did have John Prescott . Now I mean, if Angela Rayner, wouldn’t have been selected under the new regime and nor would John Prescott or Robin Cook, or Neil Kinnock or Michael Foot or certainly not Dennis Skinner, Nye Bevan or Barbara Castle. It really is a, it’s a mess, frankly. And I think that when Labour runs into trouble as a government, two or three years from now, as inevitably it will, maybe earlier than that, it’s going to come back and bite them and it will go down I think as one of the most disgraceful episodes in modern party Labour history. And I don’t know any previous example of it in the past.
Journalist Owen Jones tweeted:
“After spending years campaigning for her beloved constituency,@faizashaheen was purged by Labour. They deliberately tried to maximise her humiliation”.
Also from him (Owen Jones another tweet prior to above tweet by him)
“Before Keir Starmer became leader, he repeatedly lavished @faizashaheen with praise. Now his goons purge her during an election campaign in the most despicable way possible. Meanwhile Starmer allies with allegations of actual bad behaviour against them are allowed to stand”.
Activist and Corbyn supporter James Foster tweeted:
“Britain does need “change” & “reform”. Sadly none of the people proposing it are the ones to deliver it. The worst people at the most vital time. It’s all so depressing.
Also by him as a tweet:
“What’s scary is this:@Keir_Starmer could be the person that enables a@Nigel_Farage Premiership in 2029″
The Swawkbox Twitter account tweeted:
“Akehurst banned Jewish candidate for blowing whistle on sexual abuse. Would-be candidate says imposed Israel-fanatic candidate used NEC position to tell her she couldn’t stand because her whistleblowing would ‘bring Labour into disrepute’…”
(Luke Akehurst is a Labour candidate)
The above is not , as criticisms, an exclusive nor a minority opinion upon Keir Starmer’s New New Labour party. However in Scotland our media are promoting their alternate pretend version of Keir Starmer and his Labour party…..they are platforming Anas Sarwar whose message at times , as in when it’s considered , by him, as an opportunistic moment, is contrary to the message we are hearing via Keir Starmer……as in the actual opinion of and direction as dictated by Keir Starmer for his Labour HQ party as the next UK government.
Anas Sarwar is pretending that we in Scotland in this GE , in (If) voting for Labour, are supposedly voting for Scottish (INO) Labour and that we vote for them, Scottish (INO) Labour , as a way to to oppose the SNP as the devolved government in Scotland….thus we are supposedly opposing their , SNP’s, policies and decisions as the Scottish government in choosing to vote Labour in a UK GE ????????…….but that is not what we are voting FOR in a UK GE……the media in Scotland are repeating that same message and false notion that Anas Sarwar and Labour in Scotland are who we here , as voters in Scotland, in a UK GE are voting for…..yet we know , as do they the media also knows, that any candidate for Labour elected in a UK GE will not sit in Holyrood with Anas Sarwar but will sit at WM with the actual Labour HQ leader Keir Starmer and the Labour HQ party as they , in this UK GE, hope to be the next UK government……………….
Forget the media in Scotland as they refuse to do their job…..instead listen to and read other media sources outwith Scotland to get the real picture and perception of what New New Labour are all about now…..the spin that the media in Scotland are trying to con us with on behalf of the Labour party is frankly disgraceful and perhaps journalists like Michael Crick might see the real travesty of what we in Scotland are subjected to constantly…..as in being gaslit by the media here all to save their (NON) Union….though ironically Michael Crick may actually condone that as a valid reason (and behaviour) for us to be conned by both the media here and also by Starmer’s Labour party….LOL
The idea that the SNP could lose (any) seats to the Labour party fills me with disgust and I know it is not because people in Scotland see Starmer or his party as the best option for them……….. but tis because of a combined media propaganda exercise to promote Labour here in Scotland while also the media are trying to impede the SNP plus some people here in Scotland, have wrongly assumed, that Labour are the lesser evil compared to the Tories as the UK government (current evidence proves that to be a false assumption)…….which is hardly an endorsement on Labour but more an act of desperation by voters here in Scotland that reflects how terrible it has been for them under the Tories at WM…..but the reality is that it will not improve or “Change” under Keir Starmer’s Labour party…..
If there was justice and honesty then the SNP would, in this GE, increase the seats that they have….as opposed to what some supposed ‘Pollsters’ have predicted in wildly conflicting polls…..where some even had the SNP in single figures as MP’s at WM and also had no impact in the amount of Tory MP’s elected here in Scotland…..thus somehow Scotland bucked the trend within the UK where it kept Tory MP’s in their seats while other nations in the UK are predicted to see Tory MP’s lose their seats…..aye right.
Vote SNP…..or …………if not then learn a hard lesson over the next four years with Labour in charge at WM……until the Tory party wins again in the subsequent GE….perhaps also with charlatans like Farage as a member of their Tory party, or even him in the HOL’s ……
A real “Change” and a real “Fresh start” will only, for Scotland, happen with firstly voting for the SNP then voting for Scottish independence…..the other fake versions of “Change” and a “Fresh Start” (Labour ones) are mere window dressing under the guise of election slogans…..empty ones that will not be fulfilled by New New Labour who will not implement any “Change” or any “Fresh start” for Scotland…..but as per the same old same old………..time some people really really woke up !
NMRN
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Via section of my comment above re Michael Crick comments in his interview that I tried to transcribe……as he said them….badly done by me…..obviously….yet again…. LOL
*And in the end the left have up even standing.
And in the end the left have given up even standing.
NMRN
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Indeed the media have gone out of their way to understate the furious fragmentation within Labour just as they did with the Tories, but in Scotland not so much as a hint lest it ruin the united Sarwar landslide campaign…
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Look at the blue on that map.
Some people need help.
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And the Orange. They say Scottish shouldn’t ever exist.
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How many have seen this,nice one.
https://x.com/RaggedTP/status/1797749694405456271
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Hahaha! I wonder if he ever managed to find a riposte to those truths?
Go on BBC, put your poster boy on your webpages showing this!
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