Skeptics and those determined to deny the SNP Government any credit have looked at the plummeting graph of crimes reported by the police in Scotland and responded with suggestions that the fall is due to a reduced police presence or fakery by the statisticians.
Crime figures based only on police reporting do understate the actual level of crime and so we need to find out what people will report to independent researchers about their own experience of crime in their communities.
The Scottish Crime and Justice Survey (SCJS) is based on 5 600 face-to-face interviews. This is a very large sample, scientifically constructed to represent all social groups. Compared with opinion polls with samples of around 1 000, this method is gold-standard for validity and reliability.
It found an estimated 494,000 crimes in 2021/22 [Down 53% since 2008/9] , of which 360,000 (73%) were property crimes and 133,000 (27%) were violent crimes. Since 2008/09 property crime has halved (down 51%) whilst violent crime has fallen by 58% over the same time period.
Police Scotland figures for the same year suggest 289 362 crimes, considerably lower than the 494 000 estimate, based on the 5 600 interviews but, crucially, suggest a very similar fall in the level.
The SCJS figures tells us that people are reporting a 53% fall in all crime from 2008/9, to them.
The Police reporting figures tell us that people are reporting a fall from a round 500 000 to 300 000, of 40%, to them.
Either way a big fall is confirmed and it might be the case that the Police figures understate that fall.
Sources:
Scottish Crime and Justice Survey 2021/22 – gov.scot (www.gov.scot)
Talking-up Scotland 'Albatraz' 
Ah but, it disnae maitter if they ur gain doon, the fact remains that crimes ur still bein commitit. Thurrock should benad crimes like thur wuz when Labour wur in power. In fact criminals wur gaun tae the polis oaffice anreportin that they’d been thinking aboot commit in crimes, but hud deficit agin daein wrang!
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Please Don’t Stop sending Your Brilliant e-Mails to Me!
The Evil Yoons on Twitter are going Mad with Our Daily Postings on behalf of Scotland & The SNP!!!
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According to Statista…….
“ In 2022/23 the crime rate in Scotland was 528 crimes per 10,000 people, one of the lowest crime rates recorded in this time period. After peaking at 1,007 in 2004/05, the crime rate in Scotland has fallen significantly, reaching a low in the 2021/22.”
https://www.statista.com/statistics/916472/crime-rate-of-scotland-uk/
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The “peak” rate of crime in Scotland 2004/2005……Labour were government in Scotland!!!
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Come out come out you anons! It’s unnerving
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They all look the same to me…
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I’m shocked. SHOCKED I tell you!
That’s, that’s… Name-ist!
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WordPress changed for names
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