Scotsman and BBC let Labour candidate and just a student pretend to be an independent researcher and to make big mistakes on attainment

Introduced as a ‘researcher’ on BBC Scotland Nine last night an in the Scotsman today as a ‘postgraduate researcher’ and by himself as ‘In the second year of saying ‘I’m in the final year of my PhD’, Barry Black is a ‘student‘ and Labour candidate for Aberdeen Central in 2021.

Black was criticised by some, not me, for tweeting ‘F your coronation. Stand free’ at a Rangers v Aberdeen Match, supporting the latter. https://www.scottishdailyexpress.co.uk/news/politics/scottish-labour-candidate-urged-apologise-29925089

Is he sure about Labour?

For some reason BBC Scotland and the Scotsman have let him insist the attainment gaps are not closing and, of course, that they actually matter more than actual improvements in attainment for those in more disadvantaged groups. The latter view is surprising in someone researching education and I’ll deal with that second.

First on SQA Higher and Advanced Higher:

The Higher gap has narrowed by almost 1% to 16% from 16.9% in 2019 and crucially participation by the most disadvantaged has climbed.

At SCQF level 7 (Advanced Higher), the gap in 2009/10, two years after the SNP first came to power, was 24.1 and by 2021/22 it was 22.2, though down from 25 in the previous year but more important the most disadvantaged group at this level was increasing in size dramatically.

In 2009/10 only 4.7% of those in the most disadvantaged 20% had achieved at this level but by 2021/22, the figure was 10.3%, more than doubling in only 12 years. Remember also, that 20% means nearly 3 000 pupils every year.

https://www.tes.com/magazine/news/secondary/sqa-results-2023

Second, in Primary Schools:

The poverty-related attainment gaps in literacy and numeracy levels across primary schools have seen the biggest decreases since records began, official statistics show.

The gap between the proportion of primary pupils from the most and least-deprived areas achieving expected levels has narrowed by 3.4 percentage points in literacy and 3.7 percentage points in numeracy, according to the Achievement of Curriculum for Excellence Levels (ACEL) 2021/22. This marks the largest narrowing of the gap in a year since consistent records began in 2016/17.

https://www.gov.scot/news/record-narrowing-of-the-attainment-gap/

Third, why increases in attainment matter more than any gap:

Critics can be found in much of the media shouting about our supposed failure to sufficiently narrow the gap between the most and the least deprived.

At SCQF level 7, the gap in 2009/10, two years after the SNP first came to power, was 24.1 and by 2021/22 it was still 22.2, though down from 25 in the previous year. If you have limited understating of statistics or cynically only wish to accuse the SNP Government of failure, these statistics hide the true nature of change.

In 2009/10 only 4.7% of those in the most disadvantaged 20% had achieved at this level but by 2021/22, the figure was 10.3%, more than doubling in only 12 years. Remember also, that 20% means nearly 3 000 pupils every year.

Over the same period 28.8% of those in the most advantaged 20% had achieved at this level and by 2021/22, the figure was 38.8%, a smaller in percentage but larger in actual numbers,  increase.[v]

So, despite the major improvement among those from the most deprived 20%, there had also been a significant improvement among the least deprived 20%. So, the gap had only narrowed slightly, after widening in the previous year, and two successes, one in a priority area for government, the gap widened in 2020/21 and then only narrowed in 2021/22, is then reported as failure.

We could, of course easily narrow the gap by simply denying access to Level 7 for many of those in the least disadvantaged 20%. That’s exactly the kind of social engineering they did in Albania for much of the second half of the 20th Century and in Communist China during the Cultural Revolution in the 1960s and 1970s.

The attainment gap is a largely artificial and mostly political idea with no meaning for those it describes. What really matters is the massive improvement in the life chances of those in the most disadvantaged 20%. It’s not enough, of course, but this fact relates to the real experience of thousands rather than that of the media and opposition party opportunism.

There have been similar improvements in attainment for the other three groups between the most and the least disadvantaged. The gaps between them and the least disadvantaged are narrower and, of course, of no interest to the media.

Away from formal examination-based assessment, there has been considerable progress on narrowing attainment gaps, in primary schools, at a stage when there is not the pressure to compete for access to high status universities. In December 2022, we could read in Scottish Government announcements, if not in the media:

“The poverty-related attainment gaps in literacy and numeracy levels across primary schools have seen the biggest decreases since records began, official statistics show. The gap between the proportion of primary pupils from the most and least-deprived areas achieving expected levels has narrowed by 3.4 percentage points in literacy and 3.7 percentage points in numeracy, according to the Achievement of Curriculum for Excellence Levels (ACEL) 2021/22. This marks the largest narrowing of the gap in a year since consistent records began in 2016/17. There has also been a record increase in the proportion of primary school pupils achieving the expected levels of literacy (up 3.7 percentage points to 70.5%) and numeracy (up 3.3 percentage points to 77.9%).”[vi]

Taken together and based on evidence, we see a very different picture of the achievements of the SNP in Government, in this last decade and more, in assisting schools and learners to achieve all that they can achieve.

In the end, of course, most of the credit goes to the learners and to the schools but just as the opposition parties would want to claim credit had they been in government and, had the trends that matter gone the other way, they would blame us for it, the SNP in government deserves its share.


[i] https://www.gov.scot/publications/summary-statistics-attainment-initial-leaver-destinations-no-5-2023-edition/documents/

[ii] http://zhaolearning.com/2014/03/09/how-does-pisa-put-the-world-at-risk-part-1-romanticizing-misery/

[iii] https://progressgp.wordpress.com/2014/08/03/does-south-koreas-education-system-hurt-its-students/

[iv] https://thediplomat.com/2017/03/hong-kongs-wave-of-student-suicides/

[v] https://www.gov.scot/publications/summary-statistics-attainment-initial-leaver-destinations-no-5-2023-edition/documents/

[vi] https://www.gov.scot/news/record-narrowing-of-the-attainment-gap/

4 thoughts on “Scotsman and BBC let Labour candidate and just a student pretend to be an independent researcher and to make big mistakes on attainment

  1. Yes, the ‘gap’ is a concept which can be and is misused by politicians and media with malign intent.

    It is a variation on the old chestnut that ‘despite all the investment in education, it is appalling that half of our children are still below average. We are throwing good money after bad.

    As you point out the children from the lowest socio economic groups are attaining more and higher graded qualifications and that, in itself is a good thing.

    However, since those in the highest socio economic groups are also increasing attainment, the ‘gap’ remains albeit narrowing a little.

    The ‘gap’ is a consequence of poverty – a well-established finding – and begins to appear within the first year of birth. By investing more into prenatal and post natal care for mothers and providing greater financial assistance and other supports for families during early years, the ‘gap’ develops at a much reduced rate. By having smaller classes and more teacher support in P1/3, many children from lower socioeconomic groups keep pace with their peers and, as they progress through school are likely to attain almost as highly.

    Now, the Labour government of 1997/2010, did invest heavily in such matters under the ‘Sure Start’ programme and this is to its credit. However, it failed to make the arguments publicly fearing Tory and media accusations of supporting welfare scroungers and seeking to supplant parents. It continued the Tories’ failing schools lie and did not change the hegemony. Consequently, when Cameron, Osborne and Clegg came to power they swept away these investments in barely two years under the con-trick and public robbery that is ‘austerity’.

    I do not see any prospect of a Starmer government resuming Sure Start.

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