Sub-polls of 100 to 140 Scots are, of course, not reliable on their own but when several say the same thing, they start to add up to evidence of what is happening.
There have been one or two sub-polls suggesting a Labour recovery in Scotland but these have been outliers.
Most recently Deltapoll and YouGov on 24-28 and 29-30 November, with almost identical results, suggest no resurgence for Sarwar’s branch..
Deltapoll has UK Labour at 48%, Scottish Labour at 21% Cons at 14% and SNP at 45%.
YouGov has UK Labour at 48%, Scottish Labour at 22%, Cons at 14% and SNP at 45%.
9 earlier sub-polls tell a similar story with only 2 suggesting a bigger Scottish Labour vote and 2 even putting the SNP up in the mid-50s!
6 thoughts on “Two more Scottish sub-polls suggest Scottish Labour NOT recovering and lagging well behind UK Labour”
I just wonder how long it will take for Lab to go for another leader as Sar does not seem to be going anywhere except downhill with his angry looks at FMQs.
I missed this but maybe a good time to have another look at it.
Sarwar’s credibility was already in the stank with his “What about Millie Mae ?” in the last elections.
Were it not for HMS now James Cook promotions I doubt many would know who he was let alone “politician of the year”, to the total bemusement of the populace and incontinent pigeons circling Pacific Quay.
Unfortunately the people in the South have less choice.
Support for the SNP. and Independence increasing
Good to see the selfservatives and conlabs failing to gain much traction . Keep up the good work John .
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One thing I did notice was the number who say they wouldn’t vote (12%) or didn’t know who they would vote for (18%). Throw in the 2% who refused and that’s more or less one third of the electorate who support no one! That, it seems to me to suggest that an opportunist who will lie to your face about anything, but create uncritical enthusiasm would be well placed to profit from such a context. I’ll need to think who that might be!
80%+ is a massive turnout on average. Council/local elections 30%+. GE 50%+