Opinium’s poll today for 11th to 16th March gives Yes a 2 point lead, turning around the Scotland In Union ‘poll’ giving No a 12 point lead for 9th to 12th March.
This dramatic 14 point swing may not be reliable as the 2 point lead represents only a 4 point swing from the previous six polls averaging a 2 point lead for NO.
BBC Scotland have not reported this first lead for Yes for some time and the Herald have headed it:
SNP set to fall short of Holyrood majority again, poll finds
It’s not like Tom Gordon to be so mean-spirited.
In the data there are some juicy bits like this:
Asked: Which, if any, of the following people do you think would be the best First Minister of Scotland?, we get:
- Nicola Sturgeon: 50%
- None of these: 15%
- Don’t know: 13%
- Douglas Ross: 12%
- Anas Sarwar: 10%
Willie Rennie? Ah, they forgot about him, it seems.