In the Herald today:
The number of patients who became infected with Covid-19 while already in hospital has hit record levels, figures show. According to Public Health Scotland, the first full week of January, ending January 10, saw 219 hospital patients catch Covid-19 while on a ward for treatment unrelated to coronavirus.
Record levels eh? Let’s see:
Looks bad at first sight doesn’t it but we’ve learned to be wary of graphs haven’t we?
What percentage are we looking at here. Well the NHS Scotland report tells us:
- 113 (0.8%) were reported as probable hospital onset (first positive specimen on days 8 to 14 of admission to NHS board). In the previous week (week ending 3 January 2021) there were 62 (0.4%).
- 219 (1.5%) were reported as definite hospital onset (first positive specimen date was 15 or more days after admission to NHS board). In the previous week (week ending 3 January 2021) there were 88 (0.6%).
There are 129 000 beds in Scotland’s hospitals and a total of 219 had confirmed hospital-onset cases in them last week while another 113 had probable cases.
Puts things in perspective? And, remember a one-week change is not yet a trend, worrying or otherwise.
Finally, try finding figures for England. You won’t. They’ve stopped gathering them, it seems. Wonder why? Well:
Back in October, the Centre for Evidence-based Medicine at Oxford put the rate at between 18% and 23%.
I contacted the researchers recently and asked for a more recent update. They said they would be updating but have not published anything newer.