
Nine days after the SQA released the exam results, John Swinney is still a headline story in BBC Scotland.
One day after the similar but far bigger ‘fiasco’ in England, Wales and Northern Ireland and both the story and Gavin Williamson are clearly not in the public interests for the state broadcaster:


Is it just me being cynical but is there a pattern emerging? ukg or dom caught in the media headlights so significant easing of lockdown announced. Today half of english newspapers ditch ‘A level fiasco’ as their lead story in favour of Lockdown easing.
Lets kill a few more of our citizens so that we can double down on what tory leveling up really means.
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Not the Grauniad.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/aug/14/welcome-to-gavin-williamsons-disasterclass-where-incompetence-is-core-curriculum
“Gavin is now Boris Johnson’s education secretary – because really, why not? – and his handling of the pandemic year’s A-level results has been a disasterclass even by his own standards. On the one hand, gotta feel for him. He’s had a mere five months’ notice that students would not be sitting their exams and to come up with ways of handling the situation as fairly and accessibly as possible. On the other, the upshot is such a demonstrable shambles that the prime minister has felt moved to come out and call the grade system “robust” and “dependable”. As bad as all that, then. You’ve heard of the Kitemark – any Johnson imprimatur is the guaranteed shitemark.
As individual, collective and systemic stories of injustice mount up, the government must face the reality that the one year they arguably had more control over “levelling up” than ever, they presided over a great levelling-down of the already disadvantaged. Still, welcome to the electorate, teens!”
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just have to put up with it. It’s as good as it gets with the Shitemark.
“Jon Coles@JonColes01
· 13 Aug
In simple terms: Ofqual say that their model has about 60% predictive accuracy on average across A level subjects. That is: 40% of grades would have been different had exams been sat. https://twitter.com/JonColes01/status/1293897721938694146?s=20“
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“Chris Cook@xtophercook
17h
There’s a really curious and slightly under-explained table in the technical notes, where they discuss testing the model by back-casting the 2019 results. And they find that, even in history, the easiest subject to forecast, they get one in three grades wrong.”
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https://twitter.com/xtophercook/status/1294182988373164033
“Chris Cook@xtophercook
16h
Jon is making the same point here: these are hopelessly poor accuracy figures given the importance of a one-grade error.
Quote Tweet
Jon Coles
@JonColes01
· 13 Aug
In simple terms: Ofqual say that their model has about 60% predictive accuracy on average across A level subjects. That is: 40% of grades would have been different had exams been sat. https://twitter.com/JonColes01/status/1293897721938694146?s=202
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“These numbers are all too generous to the model because they, in effect, assume that teachers can perfectly place the rank order of every kid in their classes. The “true” reliability of the model is going to be worse than that.”
https://twitter.com/xtophercook/status/1294182988373164033
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he Earl of Sked #FlattenTheCurve@CyberHibby
13 Aug
% of exam results downgraded
Scotland 25%
England 39%
Wales 42%
Conclusion: SNP fiasco. John Swinney must resign. Sturgeon out.
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Day 10 same, only now reflecting the result of the no confidence motion.
They’re also pushing the Prof Bauld distortion of “missing” data, implying conspiracy by SG, pretty shabby by any standard…
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Day 11, only Peter Weir has appeared on the NI politics page, Wales and England Minister free.
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