In the Herald today from the always reliable Tom Gordon:

A FORMER SNP cabinet minister has warned his party risks alienating its working class base by ignoring pleas for another independence referendum and prioritising gender politics. Kenny MacAskill, the former justice secretary and current MP for East Lothian, warned not to treat traditional supporters “with contempt” or look down on them as “the Great Unwoke”.

I hesitate, but only for a minute or two, because I admire Kenny MacAskill. He’s a fine researcher and writer on Scottish working-class life and especially protest, but on this, he’s in a bubble, the Holyrood bubble, and can’t see clearly what’s happening.

In 2020, after three full polls from YouGov and Opinium with the SNP support at 54%, a smaller (103) Ipsos MORI sub-poll, for 5th to 10th June, gave them 58% with both Labour and Cons at 19%.

At the end of 2019, support had only been around the mid 40s. See this:

Now, to be fair here, we need to compare the level of support for the SNP among socio-economic groups ABC1 with the ‘working-class’ C2DE group. In the last Panelbase poll, 57% of the C2DE as opposed to only 45% of the ABC1 respondents chose the SNP. In the May poll C2DE support was lower at 52%. In the April YouGov poll it was 56%. In the March Panelbase poll it was 58% and in the January Panelbase it was 52%. See the trend? No. There isn’t one. It’s varying insignificantly, up and down, around 55%.

At the end of November it was only 45% compared to 44% for ABC1 so you might even argue, I wouldn’t, that working-class support is increasing as the SNP supposedly prioritises gender politics.

So, being scientific here, it’s hard to see any evidence for MacAskill’s claims. Where did he get the idea from? Inside his bubble, speaking to a few pals in the SNP.

Footnote: On bubbles I too am in a bubble. It’s a kind of sociological bubble but it’s a big bubble and most other bubbles like the Holyrood bubble or the Tory bubble, are inside it. I may have mentioned before that sociology despite its popular image, is the master discipline which allows ‘us’ like the Illuminati or a more advanced but benign alien species, to look down upon all you mere mortals and comment on your all-too-predictable patterns of behaviour.

We welcome the low status and the mockery because it enables us to be superior without our important work being obstructed by you behaving respectfully and thus unnaturally in our presence. Keep it up.

We know you will be feeling offended now. We understand.