Yesterday, the First Minister was careful to talk about the flow of covid-19 infection possibly being from Scotland into England. All of the media coverage talks of a cross-border cluster across south west Scotland and north west England.

We don’t know for certain what happened yet but, these statistics might be of interest.

Today, Professor Chris Isles of Dumfries and Galloway:

We have had no new Covid positive cases throughout the region for the last eight days, no Covid positive cases in the hospital for the last five days and no Covid positive deaths for the last fortnight.

Yesterday, based on ONS figures:

In the North West today (Wednesday, July 1, 2020), there is a total of 27,303 confirmed cases, with 34 new cases recorded yesterday.

On 23rd June based on ONS figures:

Cumbria has been one of hardest by the pandemic with the third highest infection rate in the UK last month with Barrow-in-Furness having 882 cases per 100,000 people (0.88%) which was triple of England’s rate at 246.4.

From the Times today:

A new coronavirus cluster has emerged around Gretna following a rise in cross-border traffic from England. Five positive cases were recorded in Dumfries and Galloway yesterday, triggering a cross-border incident management operation. Traffic at Gretna has more than doubled since the peak of the virus, from around 6,000 vehicles a day in late March to around 14,000 in the last few weekdays. Around 20,000 vehicles a day crossed at Gretna before the pandemic. Northwest England has the highest rate of coronavirus transmission in Britain, according to UK government figures last week.

And, deep in the BBC Scotland report today

John Pagani, who runs the Café Royal in Annan, only recently reopened his business after it was shut for seven weeks. He has strict hygiene and social distancing measures in place, such as temperature checks for staff.

I have noticed an increase in the number of customers from England over the last week or so and customers say Carlisle is pretty much business as usual now.

What do you think?