As Scotland’s media and the opposition parties desperately cling to the past, lingering fondly on the comparatively high level of infection and of death, due to the lock-down of decision forced on us by the 4 Nations agreement, dominated by Dominic Cumming’s fatally wrong herd immunity strategy, they cannot bring themselves to recognise the achievements in the months since divergence at the end of March.
The Scottish Government’s stricter lock-down, better communication, the people’s solidarity, the coronavirus assessment centres protecting GP surgeries and our better staffed NHS, take the credit.
Scotland’s 7 day average for new cases is now 14. A week ago it was 22 and the week before that it was 30. At the end of May, still then affected by the UK Government delays, it was 97.
The 7 day average for deaths is now 1.4, after two weekdays at zero. A week ago it was 3.6 and the week before that it was 5. At the end of May, still then affected by the UK Government delays, it was 13.
The 5 day average for deaths in England is now 145.
The new infections rate for England is hard to find but the Englsih CMO Chris Whitty has suggested around 3 000 per day:
It’s never clear whether he means the UK or England but it matters little for comparison with the rate in Scotland being so low.
All things being equal, the English infection rate would be around 140 but is predicted to hold at around 3 000, 21 times higher per capita than in Scotland.
As for the death rate that should be 14 but is 145, 10 times higher per capita than in Scotland.
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