By sam:
The research, as it makes clear, has not yet been peer reviewed.These are the conclusions it makes.
“The key conclusions of our analysis are as follows:
The UK epidemic comprises a very large number of importations due to inbound international travel2. We detect 1356 independently-introduced transmission lineages, however, we expect this number to be an under-estimate.
The speed of detection of UK transmission lineages via genome sequencing has increased through time.
Many UK transmission lineages now appear to be very rare or extinct, as they have not been detected by genome sequencing for >4 weeks.
The rate and source of introduction of SARS-CoV-2 lineages into the UK changed substantially and rapidly through time. The rate peaked in mid-March and most introductions occurred during March 2020.
We estimate that ≈34% of detected UK transmission lineages arrived via inbound travel from Spain, ≈29% from France, ≈14% from Italy, and ≈23% from other countries [100%]. The relative contributions of these locations were highly dynamic.
The increasing rates and shifting source locations of SARS-CoV-2 importation were not fully captured by early contact tracing.
Our results are preliminary and further analyses of these data are ongoing.”
Talking-up Scotland 'Albatraz' 
The Tories always regarded this crisis as a distraction to the main event,Get Brexit Done.
Consequently,they have expended the minimum amount of effort in combatting Covid19.
This is what you get from a one trick pony administration.
The sooner they are done,the better.
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Caveats.
“The relative contributions of SARS-CoV-2 importation and local transmission to early epidemic growth in each country therefore warrants further investigation. These dynamics should be taken into account when planning and modelling future public health actions in the context of international travel.”
Limitations
A limitation of this preliminary analysis is that our estimates do not capture all the statistical uncertainty involved. The analytical framework used here is newly developed and it will take time before we can incorporate all sources of uncertainty in a statistically rigorous manner. The estimates reported here are preliminary and we focus on reporting results that we believe are robust. We have undertaken sensitivity analyses for several parameters and have compared our estimates of SARS-CoV-2 prevalence with those from more sophisticated model-based approaches. We are undertaking further work to explore the sensitivity of our results to the different ways in which UK-specific subtrees (lineages) are identified within the global SARS-CoV-2 phylogeny. Our estimates of the number of infectious individuals in each country are naïve and could be improved. For example, we assume that the probability of a traveller from country X being infectious is the same as that of a member of the general population of country X on the same day. This may be unrealistic when prevalence and rate of inbound travel vary among regions in a country. Our estimates of international rail passenger numbers are more uncertain than those for air and sea travel. The EII represents the varying likelihood of the introduction of infections into the UK but does not model the probability that an infectious arrival will initiate a local transmission lineage. Further work is needed to understand what factors might affect this probability of establishment. We intend to explore further how the number and size of UK transmission lineages observed in our sample relates to the actual number and size of transmission lineages in the general population.”
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But, but, we were assured all along that the Westminster government were following and being guided by the ‘science’.
It now looks as though they were making it up as they went along and telling us through leaks to the tame media just what their spin-doctors said we wanted to hear.
Rule Britannia! – Aye, right………… Let’s get our country clear of this boorach.
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It was as clear as a sparkly clear thing that if you continued to allow people to enter the country there was a good chance they would bring C-19 with them. Why we did not shut down our borders very early on beats me. We are all sitting in our houses locked down and other folks are flying about all over the place…fking nuts. I have told this story elsewhere but…I know (rich) people who enjoyed lockdown in sunny Florida, then got a tad worried they might have to quarantine for 14 days if coming home so nipped back to Scotland PDQ, via London, stayed with family there, then to Edinburgh and then Taxi north.
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Keep the virus coming in , that’s what Johnson had a plan to do remember to get herd immunity ,
so no travel restrictions,
eventually they had to change course and went ‘by the science ‘, everything was far , far too late , he has a lot to answer for !
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Should I infer from this that all forms of communal travel (and taxis) have potential to transmit covid19 widely? I think I should.
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Quite simply
Westminster seen that Heathrow had to maintain its economic position as one of the Worlds leading aviation hubs
And as such if they closed Heathrow then
The Channel Tunnel,Dover etc would have to follow suit
ALL decisions are based on SELECTIVE
science Any who disagree at Cobra/Sage
Meets merely require a odious glance from that master of eugenics Domonic
To sent them into the corner with their tails firmly between their legs
WEALTH before HEALTH is imprinted
Into their useless cerebal spongy matter
Little realising that whilst saving their precious pound that in fact they will be blowing a fortune and their Precious union
Like all matters in life their shall be a knock upon their door to present the Final Account pertaining to their lustrous desire for wealth
And they will be looking down the dble barrels of a shotgun
1.The lenders demands
2.The result of 2021 Holyrood elections
That bursts the sect 30 dam
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Current quarantine measures are purely a tit for tat measure because the Brits are to be quarantined by other countries which have a lower infection rate.
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