Scotland’s actual covid-19 infection rate is pretty average

https://www.dailyrecord.co.uk/news/scottish-news/scotlands-coronavirus-reproduction-rate-one-22111505

Strangely fed by following the Twitter feed of Andy Burnham, in turn estimated based on data compiled by the Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, the Record thought it was able to trumpet the above bad news yesterday, as Scotland began to loosen its breakdown:

It’s hard to see where they get their headline from when you look at the column for the R no. Every area is between 0.7 and 0.9 with Scotland in the middle at 0.8.

Then when you look at actual infection rates as opposed to estimates, the ONS puts Scotland pretty much in the middle at 286 per 100K with 5 areas higher, 2 very similar and 4 lower.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/may/30/coronavirus-uk-map-the-latest-deaths-and-confirmed-cases-near-you-england-scotland-wales-and-northern-ireland

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